Betting "no" on an outcome, is bettering "yes" on ALL other possible outcomes. There is even an operation for it: https://docs.polymarket.com/advanced/neg-risk

Am I misunderstanding? I think that’s trivially not true. Consider:

Joe Dart elected president Y/N

Cory Wong elected president Y/N

A no bet on Joe Dart is not a yes bet on Cory Wong.

Dart/Wong for America ‘28 - Give America Back Its Groove.

Did you read the link? A NO bet on Joe Dart is a YES bet on Cory Wong + Others.

It is trivial. Saying NO to a candidate means you're saying YES to ALL other candidates with varying probabilities that would sum to the neg risk of that NO bet.

Ah I see, I missed the + Others part in my initial reading, i see it gives the same payout. The shared link just asserts the same thing you’ve asserted with additional technical language that I don’t understand, so reading it didn’t help me much.

Perhaps this is pedantic, but this equivalence is ignoring fees, spread, and slippage, right?

That's not true. The different outcomes don't have any relation to each other.

If you had only bothered to open the link and understand what it even being said.

If you don't think it's true, then go ahead and arb polymarket for all the incorrect pricing.

What you said and what the link said were interesecting but not equal.

I did not know about this: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saudi_infiltration_of_Twitter

very much sounds like microsoft

Exactly my worry, so I've bubblewrapped it on my computer. https://kaveh.page/blog/claude-code-sandbox

Great balance of simplicity and functionality. I'll be adapting this for VSCode+Cline. Thanks for sharing.

This is how I sandbox my Claude Code, mostly for development in rust.

Only in an echo chamber people spend nitpicking about what is "good code". For vast majority of use cases, the 'good code' the one that works.

And then you have the source code for quake or doom.

One of the author is from the Ethereum Foundation. Super interesting paper to read. This goes beyond just cryptocurrency. I wrote about it here a while ago: https://kaveh.page/blog/bitcoin-quantum-threat

Reading this was such a trip. I remember "Programming Windows" had to bribe my uncle to buy it for me. I built my first app using it.

> I've never gotten a job by applying to it. It's always been referrals or someone reaching out to me. So honestly, my resume is shit compared to my peers.

alright, checks out.

also my experience. it can't even keep up with a simple claude.md let alone a whole wiki...