Agreed. It's interesting that this thread is almost entirely about low wage earners. Truck drivers were added to the conversation, but the truth is it's not about low wage earning, but about rote working.
In 10-20 years, i'd expect
The job of accountant being pretty much wiped off the map for humans. Turbo Tax, et. al, was a nascent first step.
Doctors, Nurses, Hospital Administrators, Staff will be significantly pared down, and given much more commoner positions, as I can go down to Walgreens, sit in the gene therapy booth and cure my own cancer, hiv, leukemia, als, etc. etc. Perhaps Baby docs will survive the longest... that's kind of icky even for a robot.
Dentists? Higentists? I'd expect in that period of time, we will be able to regrow teeth beyond the first set of adult teeth... so, really what's the point of your job function.
Middle Management? Various surveys suggest people actually would prefer to report to a computer, rather than a human, and really, will it be that hard to believe that middle management can't be done via robot? That's a good number of people without jobs.
Bus/Train/Plane Drivers, gone soon as well.
Almost all manufacturing jobs will be gone.
As automated surveillance reaches its crescendo, surely police forces can be significantly trimmed, even without the introduction of robocop.
And on and on...
If you want a job in the near future, start planning for one that is highly chaotic. But with everyone fighting for those jobs, don't expect much in pay.
Well the truck driver's work is not only to drive. Also to do maintenance on the truck, inventory and such. How do you change a flat tire on a self driving truck? You will still need some alternative. That alternative can be automated, sure... but it's a problem yet to be solved.
In 10-20 years, i'd expect
The job of accountant being pretty much wiped off the map for humans. Turbo Tax, et. al, was a nascent first step.
Doctors, Nurses, Hospital Administrators, Staff will be significantly pared down, and given much more commoner positions, as I can go down to Walgreens, sit in the gene therapy booth and cure my own cancer, hiv, leukemia, als, etc. etc. Perhaps Baby docs will survive the longest... that's kind of icky even for a robot.
Dentists? Higentists? I'd expect in that period of time, we will be able to regrow teeth beyond the first set of adult teeth... so, really what's the point of your job function.
Middle Management? Various surveys suggest people actually would prefer to report to a computer, rather than a human, and really, will it be that hard to believe that middle management can't be done via robot? That's a good number of people without jobs.
Bus/Train/Plane Drivers, gone soon as well.
Almost all manufacturing jobs will be gone.
As automated surveillance reaches its crescendo, surely police forces can be significantly trimmed, even without the introduction of robocop.
And on and on...
If you want a job in the near future, start planning for one that is highly chaotic. But with everyone fighting for those jobs, don't expect much in pay.