Hacker Timesnew | past | comments | ask | show | jobs | submitlogin

> It seems like your reasoning and the reasoning of the author could be applied to any statistic testing the reliability of a hypothesis, not simply p values.

Precisely. That's the point. Hypothesis testing is inherently absurd.



Hypothesis testing is "soul" of science.

What's impossible is thinking that just the output of a single experiment gives hypothesis certainty, or a fixed probability of a hypothesis or anything fully quantified.

You're alway going to have the context of reality. Not only will you have the null hypothesis you'll competing hypotheses to explain the given data.

But the point of science isn't blinding constructing experiments but instead forming something you think might be true and doing enough careful experiments to convince yourself and others in the context of our overall understanding of the world that the hypothesis is true. Common sense, Occam's Razor, the traditions of a given field and so-forth go into this.


Then, hypothesis testing was born in the context of industrial quality control, where the true data generating process is very close to being well-known and deviation from the norm raises a red flag rather than suggests new knowledge about how breweries work.




Consider applying for YC's Summer 2026 batch! Applications are open till May 4

Guidelines | FAQ | Lists | API | Security | Legal | Apply to YC | Contact

Search: