You turned 40.000 into [redacted]? That's incredibly impressive (even with the recent crypto bull run).
Was this all achieved with time-series prediction through ML models? I had the impression those were hard to get right, but props to you for clearly doing so.
I think it's both easy and hard, depending how you look at it. Hard because it's a tough ML problem where you have to combat overfitting and the messiness of the real world; easy because crypto is clearly one of the easiest markets to trade and there are opportunities all over the place (compared to equities for example). On top of my head: stat arb, yield arb, exchange arb, funding arb, market making / liquidity providing (CEX/DEX), doing/preventing sandwich attacks, good old yield farming...
How are people not more skeptical of this. This would without doubt be the most successful trading run in history and we are expected to believe that a self taught HN rando who couldn't even get into an AI lab did this with 5 people in SF?? Renaissance Tech is probably the best hedge fund in the world and they can only manage something like 30% a year but this guy did 250000% in a year and change? Give me a break. If anything they executed a massive pump and dump/rug pull and nothing more.
I mean why bother with this so called "research" endeavor when you could be a deci-billionaire in a year or two using the same strategy you've been using and then simply buy OpenAI or whatever. The whole story makes no sense.
Was this all achieved with time-series prediction through ML models? I had the impression those were hard to get right, but props to you for clearly doing so.