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Its an example of a possible scenario so not really possible to be suspect. All you need understand is that if inflation is greater than expected return potential you are in the described scenario. It can come about from either lever: confidence in returns is lost causing no one to invest, or inflation outstripping expected returns for a significant period of time (like in Venezuela).


> Its an example of a possible scenario so not really possible to be suspect.

This doesn't follow. I would expect any financial planner worth their salt to consider many different scenarios and make decisions based on which scenarios they think are likely... not based on which scenarios they think are possible.

The fact that it's possible for a decision to put you in a disadvantageous position does not mean that you made the wrong decision. It may just mean that you made a reasonable decision but failed to predict future market behavior.

The idea of using a 40-year high for inflation to do your long-term planning sounds like some pretty outrageous incompetence to me.




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