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MontyCarloHall
on March 10, 2022
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Inflation propagates unevenly
It’s only accurate if 7% inflation also persists for 10 years, which seems unlikely.
jmarbach
on March 10, 2022
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High inflation persisted in America in the 1970s. Why wouldn’t it happen again?
anotherman554
on March 10, 2022
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Because we have different Federal Reserve policy than we did in the 1970s, for one thing.
thallium205
on March 10, 2022
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The fed in the 70s slowed inflation by raising interest rates to 20%. The current fed will never do that.
sfe22
on March 10, 2022
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Correct. And there is a reason, at 10% interest rate, the federal government is bankrupt.
vkou
on March 10, 2022
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It could happen again, but equity returns wouldn't be sub-inflation for 10 years, because the real economy isn't shrinking by 4% a year.
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