I'd actually be interested in factors that make a Show HN a success vs failure.
Objectively, there's an obvious one your dataset: time of submission. Tuesday afternoon (which timezone? I assume US west coast?) seems to be key. No way this correlates with the quality of submissions.
Subjectively: it seems to become much harder recently. I managed once a couple of years ago for a short time to reach the front page with an Android app, now I'm barely able to get above 20 points, even though the product is (again, subjectively) cooler and has a possibly wider audience (https://hackertimes.com/item?id=35671245).
Not complaining, but perhaps nowadays Show HN is not an easy way anymore to "get the word out" and get some early user feedback for and from indie hackers? Any other sites that might be of interest?
Its badge on a product's home page is to me a negative signal, but partly since it does still happen (quite a lot) - people do seem to use ProductHunt.
(I suppose I'd use it - and pretty much anything - but just not put 'omg #1' badge on my site, if I had something to launch myself.)
Completely tangential now, but I think its problem is right in the title - who is hunting a product? It's a complete echo chamber, surely nobody who doesn't have something to launch is actively using it - 'it's Wednesday so I need a new Gmail-integrating Jira spline reticulator'.
I'd actually be interested in factors that make a Show HN a success vs failure.
Objectively, there's an obvious one your dataset: time of submission. Tuesday afternoon (which timezone? I assume US west coast?) seems to be key. No way this correlates with the quality of submissions.
Subjectively: it seems to become much harder recently. I managed once a couple of years ago for a short time to reach the front page with an Android app, now I'm barely able to get above 20 points, even though the product is (again, subjectively) cooler and has a possibly wider audience (https://hackertimes.com/item?id=35671245).
Not complaining, but perhaps nowadays Show HN is not an easy way anymore to "get the word out" and get some early user feedback for and from indie hackers? Any other sites that might be of interest?