I can't find the exact article I read it in at the moment, but ChatGPT was definitely a turning point where a bunch of people reeled in their predictions by a decade.

(The median expert prediction was between 2040-2060 previously, now quite a few people have moved that timeline to before 2035).

https://medium.com/@paul.k.pallaghy/chatgpt-did-any-one-remo...

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/hQysqfSEzciRazx8k/forecastin...