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You're mixing wealth and income.


No, he is saying that $1B in wealth (about 400 people) generates $77m (threshold to make list of highest earners) in income assuming a 7.7% rate of return (which seems unrealistically high to me).


Actually, I'm saying that if the 200+ Americans with >$2 billion in wealth consistently generated more than 4% return on capital, then at least 50% of the top 400 earners should stay relatively the same year after year (since those with >$2 billion usually stay billionaires). The fact that only 27% have appeared more than once suggests that those with more than $2 billion in net worth are reporting returns less than 4%.


Appreciating assets don't count as income. They very well may be minimizing income while still maintaining growth. When they sell those assets, they make the list.


But when we're talking about capital gains income, we would expect the two to be correlated.




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