> "over-building so you have enough in winter" This makes wind and solar much more expensive to the point where nuclear is cheaper.
No it doesn't. Why do you just say that? There are simulation studies like CSIRO's work which show that it's still cheaper than nuclear after you account for everything.
Batteries utterly dominate the cost of grid storage... everything else is a rounding error.
You're welcome to go find your own data of course, you'll struggle to find more direct numbers because significant grid storage has only become affordable in the last few years.
" we are dealing with exponential change in the price of storage and solar."
But not in grid storage. That is still incredibly expensive.