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> Do you trust that any of today's politicians will not be poor at nuclear reactor design and management?

As someone who lives in Ontario, Canada, where 50% of all electricity currently comes from nuclear power:

* https://www.ieso.ca/power-data?type=supply

I have no problem with getting more CANDU reactors (which is the current plan).



As an Ontarian, I love CANDU.

As an Ontarian, the thought of spending $500B on a couple of reactors makes me furious. Ontario is not going to become competitive again with the most expensive electricity in the world.


Ontario nuclear is cheaper than Ontario solar and wind (Table 2):

* https://fao-on.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Nuclear-Refurb...

Until a few years ago it was cheaper than methane/natural gas:

* https://www.oeb.ca/sites/default/files/rpp-price-report-2023...

At least when it comes to refurbishment, the independent (reports to provincial parliament) FAO found:

> Overall, despite near-term Nuclear Price increases, the Plan is projected to provide ratepayers with a long-term supply of relatively low-cost, low emissions electricity.

* https://fao-on.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/08/Nuclear-Refurb...

Their projections go to 2064.

New-nuclear is worthy of discussion, but given we have stood up supply chains via the refurbishment process, there's a lot of knowledge out there. My current largest complaint with the new-nuclear plans is the SMRs.


Your documents are from 2017. The numbers for solar will be almost an order of magnitude wrong.


not in case of CFD's


That's some impressive financial engineering to go from $500B for a few gigawatts of power to "reasonably priced".


Can you provide a citation for the $500B? Because Carney has mentioned federal money in that amount for projects Canada-wide that include "energy" generally, but not nuclear specifically.

I did find this (potential?) $100B number on Ontario nuclear energy:

* https://archive.is/https://www.thestar.com/politics/provinci...

but if you take that number and 'ammortize' it over the average 40-year life span of reactors, it comes to $2.5B/year (in capex), which is about ~1% of the provincial budget. I'm not sure how much raw GW capacity that would add, or how many GWh would be generated annually, to do the math on the per-kWh (capex?) cost.

The article goes over the pros and cons of various points in the energy mix debate.





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