I literally don’t understand, and have a deep distrust of people who say we haven’t seen deceleration.
The diminishing returns are colossal. GPT 4 is more than 3 years old now, and while Sol is definitely better, it’s better at a tremendous cost. And 3 years of development. And it still fails in nearly all the same places as 4.0.
I’m not some “zero AI” person, I don’t think this industry will collapse into nothing and we will go back to a no LLM world.
But to look at this industry, which basically began in November 2022, almost 4 years and a trillion+ dollars later and say “oh yeah, definitely riding that exponential growth still” is some of the wildest shit I’ve ever seen, and it’s so common.
I'm the other way around. For doing real, useful work, these things were barely more than toys even just a year ago. Now they're very capable when used well, and still getting better at a fast pace.
The diminishing returns are colossal. GPT 4 is more than 3 years old now, and while Sol is definitely better, it’s better at a tremendous cost. And 3 years of development. And it still fails in nearly all the same places as 4.0.
I’m not some “zero AI” person, I don’t think this industry will collapse into nothing and we will go back to a no LLM world.
But to look at this industry, which basically began in November 2022, almost 4 years and a trillion+ dollars later and say “oh yeah, definitely riding that exponential growth still” is some of the wildest shit I’ve ever seen, and it’s so common.