People who had cut the cord but all but walked away from casual piracy and signed up for Netflix and HBO (and probably Prime Video because they had Amazon Prime already) are openly talking about the fact they're definitely not signing up for more streaming services, and are seeking out torrenting again for the stuff that's being pulled from Netflix (especially Disney shows).
I feel like there's a business opportunity for a meta-service that automatically manages monthly subscriptions for you on different services. You queue up a catalog of shows you want to watch, and it creates an optimized schedule for you and helps sign up for the individual streaming service on a given month in order to watch the show you want.
As long as you don't care about the zeitgeist, this would probably be fine for a lot of people.
Look, I want a convenient way to watch movies. I would even be ready to pay more than I do right now to Netflix to have a library of ALL the movies I want to watch.
1 library, not 10, especially if they may or may not contain the movie I want to see.
My honeymoon period with Netflix and co is over.
- I feel that their original content has dried out : there is even more of it, but it rarely interest me these days and I feel like the quality has dropped in favor of quantity.
- Let's say I want to watch Blade Runner. I want the "final cut" (IMO the best version, it is the director's cut, unlike the "director's cut" which isn't one in this case). Well, I have just checked, this movie is not on Netflix. If it was, I would not have the choice of the cut. I would not be able to e.g. listen to the team commentary either. That's the first movie that sprung to my mind, but that's a good example of my experience with Netflix.
A rolling library of content like what Netflix and co have is not what I want. At all. I want an ever growing one.
I like to be able to get my content "legitimely" (quotes because if you watch old movies, chances are you are not paying the artists but the mega corporation who bought the rights to it but that's OT), and I am not looking for solutions to "cheat the system". However, right now torrenting sites are becoming again the most efficient (and in some cases only) solution to access the content I would like to watch.
If you’re willing to pay, why not rent from the iTunes Store / Amazon Prime?
Pick one, they’ve had all the movies / TV shows I wanted to watch, which are not all mainstream.
If there’s an exception and there’s something you don’t find it there - well, do you, but I really don’t understand how piracy is the default answer to convenience with people claiming they have the willingness to pay.
Someone else commented about the local video store - also an option, if not something I’d do myself (does redbox count?)
Go to a different country, and Netflix offers a different set of subtitles for a given title. Why can't I get Swedish subtitles in the US, for titles Neflix has the subtitles? I know this is to simplify the UI, but just offer it as an advances option, like they do for
non-apathy mode (ie, stop playing at the end of one episode so I don't lose a day sitting on the couch).
Why is that even necessary? Youtube offers you the full list to choose from and I don't see users writhing on the ground clutching their skulls in agonizing confusion. Users can handle a list of languages just fine.
That's the worst. For mature products, all that A/B testing does is test how close the old UI is to the new UI. Users are scared of change, to the point that when Ebay wanted to change the color of their banner, changing the color instantly was a travesty to their users so instead, Ebay transitioned the color slowly, over months, to yellow.[0]
> Why can't I get Swedish subtitles in the US, for titles Neflix has the subtitles? I know this is to simplify the UI
Not true. I'm pretty sure it's licensing cost. In Germany most movies have subtitles only in German, while a handful also in English -- all Netflix originals and maybe some others. Meanwhile, basically all series have English subtitles for some arcane reason.
For me Netflix is a series-only service, I've given up on finding any movie worth watching that would have English subtitles.
For some reason I also get different subtitle options on my phone than I do my television despite both being on the same network (no vpn).
I also hate that they offer a show with audio in the original language, but no subtitles for the same language. So you have to be either mostly fluent or forced to watch the dubbed version.
Are you truly certain it is just to simplify the UI? I am not sure for Swedish, but I do know that US films subtitled in Japanese often have different licensing arrangements than the unsubtitled version.
For the same inscrutable reasons that the film industry insists on schemes like DVD region locking, they are also generally against making a single version of a movie with all subtitles available.
> I really don’t understand how piracy is the default answer to convenience with people claiming they have the willingness to pay.
Subscription services fees can quickly add if not managed properly, so the convenience they offer completely evaporates if you force customers to juggle their subscriptions between different services to cover all their needs.
To customers that "services juggling" is pretty much the exact opposite of "convenience", but signing up for everything, all the time, is not an option for many as that would cost some serious money.
So what will most likely end up happening is that people stick to one, maybe two, services covering most of their needs, and just get whatever else they want trough means that don't require them to manage a subscription, like piracy.
It should also be mentioned that even piracy does offer paid subscriptions, where users pay money to get more convenient and reliable access to content, that's pretty much what Usenet and all debrid are.
But unlike legal streaming services, their libraries are not compartmentalized and limited by publishing rights.
Your comment doesn't address the parent's question.
Forget about streaming services, you can rent nearly every big screen movie ever from iTunes, Google Play, or Amazon, instantly for $3-6 dollars. Adjusting for inflation, these prices are very much comparable with what video rental stores used to offer. iTunes alone has more than 100k movies (for perspective Netflix doesn't even have 10k).
Many in this thread (and to a lesser extent the article) are acting like movie watchers want to pay money, but it's just too complicated to do so. Renting a movie on iTunes/Play/Amazon is at least as easy as torrenting something, and the selection is massive.
"If I can watch any movie ever for $10/month, I'll do it, but otherwise I'll just pirate them" is a very strange viewpoint IMHO. I would like unlimited groceries for $10/month, but I'm not going to just to stealing them because that's not an option.
Renting is an even worse exercise than subscribing to a streaming service.
For heavy consumers, the renting fees will add up quickly and the selection on those stores is not as flawless as you make it out to be.
To this day Amazon still demands more money for anything better than SD quality, information about supplied subs/dubs is spotty at best, if they are even supplied at all. Bonus content? Completely missing.
Why deal with that when for nearly the same amount of money you can often order a complete Bluray and own the movie in a physical format? Not just a "temporary license to stream"?
> "If I can watch any movie ever for $10/month, I'll do it, but otherwise I'll just pirate them" is a very strange viewpoint IMHO.
Then it's good nobody here claimed anything like that. But you are still stuck in this "all pirates are cheap freeloaders" mode, when in reality piracy usually happens in addition to the user already being a heavily paying fan of the medium [0]. Piracy supplements that when it's more convenient/not legally available/past the monthly budget.
What happens if I'm willing to pay, but said movie isn't available in my local region on any of the digital store fronts? It happens all to frequently to me. I know I'm definitely an outlier, but I genuinely have no real choice sometimes, but to pirate a movie. You know what happens when I really like said unavailable movie? I usually pop on Amazon and buy a bluray copy if it's available.
For whatever reason, it seems that certain eras of film from various countries are just missing from streaming catalogs. Not only are the films missing, but they can be incredibly hard to find on services due to naming and translated names. Recently, I was trying to watch Cure aka Kyua (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cure_(film)), good luck asking Siri to find this movie. The name "Cure" brings up nothing related, and "Kyua" is essentially not recognized. I found 1 or 2 films by the director, by searching his name directly. It's a cluster, and it's frankly a shame that I have to resort to piracy when I'd absolutely be willing to pay for such movies.
Is there yet an option to hold a digital copy of film DRM-free forever, as with music?
I expect this wouldn't be in much demand since, at least for me, one viewing is usually plenty. Which is why the rolling updates don't bother me much. For those few that warrant repeat viewings I can get a physical copy.
The tough thing to find even with rental would be some foreign movies, e.g. Korean.
They will likely also offer free streaming (though I realize that is "another service" in the sense that you again have to log in, search and browse) like Kanopy[1] which does offer a lot of older films, foreign films, and documentaries.
Yes. About a year ago, I resubscribed to Netflix DVDs because the library is so much better than what's on streaming. I feel like people have forgotten that the DVD library is enormous and has basically every movie you'd ever want -- and now that fewer people use it, you don't have long wait times anymore.
I have both Prime and Netflix, and depending on region there is plenty that neither of them have.
Video store is not an option - there are none. Sometimes I've resorted to ordering, but it's gotten to the point where it feels like enough of a pain compared to streaming that I have on occasion bought things on Prime that I have sitting in one of my DVD boxes rather than spend the time to find the DVD.
My (arguably) legitimate way that gets me an ever-growing library:
1. BluRay
2. MakeMKV
3. Kodi
This is relatively future proof because unless I either get a bigger living room wall or sit uncomfortably closer to the screen 1080p is indistinguishable from 4k. I get whichever cut I want all the commentaries &c. I have all the discs in 3-ring binders with disc holders just in case there is a cut or featurette or whatever I'd like to watch at some point in the future.
Note that Disney has announced they are no longer going to re-release their back-catalog on physical media, so if you are a fan of their stuff, get the used BD now before it goes way up in price. I expect other studios will follow suit as well.
I chose not to get cable when I first moved in on my own in 2004 and allowed myself to buy TV shows and movies I wanted budgeted to the monthly cost of cable (I rarely actually ran up against that budget; at one point craigslist loaded with TV shows and movies for pennies on the dollar). I now have enough movies and TV shows to last me a very long time.
Only downside: I won't get to see GoT season 8 until December.
It seems to me neither your case nor what parent comment describes is about convenience, but merely about not wanting to pay too much for all the streaming services. I mean I don't think you would pay 10x more for netflix if it had everything, right?
> I mean I don't think you would pay 10x more for netflix if it had everything, right?
Have you heard of a thing called cable?
True, after Netflix anchored it's price at a reasonable level for it's offerings, I probably would not pay 10x more. But a service that made it easy to watch everything under one interface could get more money out of me than Netflix.
By one interface I mean search and/or browse in one place, click a video, optionally pay or subscribe with one click if needed, rinse, repeat. No switching between different catalogs, launching different apps, anything like that. Launching a different app for viewing is acceptable if it's super slick.
Amazon Prime has most of this (and x-ray is cool), so it tends to get my money more than other services, but it still doesn't have anywhere near every title I want to watch, and it's sometimes expensive enough that I will switch to a different service for a significant discount.
What about my case isn't about convenience exactly ?
All of it is about convenience to access content. Netflix had it at first when its library was "fresh". But since it is a rolling library instead of an ever growing one, it almost never has the movie I want to watch.
Blade Runner is the first example that came to mind and I believe that it is a good one. it is an acclaimed movie that should be very easy to find online.
I would be ready to pay more for a Netflix like service with "everything". Actually I used to pay for multiple services at once.
Would I pay 10 times ? I don't think so, personally I don't value such a service that highly but that's a subjective opinion (just like somebody could rightfully say that for them Netflix or Spotify are too costly) and a bit of a straw-man IMO.
It's disingenuous to call switching libraries "inconvenient". We're talking about opening a new tab or switching an app. A few finger budges for ~2hr of entertainment. I don't know what to say if you find that so inconvenient, especially compared to the effort it would take to go to a torrent site, find a high quality stream, make sure it has the right special features you're looking for, or what have you, to pirate a movie.
If you're looking for an ever growing library of specific movies you want to watch, with the special features you want to consume, it sounds like you just want to buy movies. Netflix and co. were never that and were never advertised as that.
The inconvenient part is I have to labor for income to pay for all these services. That's really a bummer because I prefer to not labor.
Additionally, I am in 6 countries for 9 months of this year. It is inconvenient that YouTube TV tells me the $35 I am paying them buys me absolutely nothing, despite the app saying "some content and local channels" will not be available, Netflix forces me to stop halfway through a series because I crossed a border. That's not convenient.
Ouch moving countries is something I did not touch because of what a nightmare it is for many of these services and because it is not the "common" case.
It took me one year to transfer my google account to another country.
It's my understanding that the issues with international content distribution have to do with regulatory differences across borders, not the streaming services themselves.
It has to do mainly with an archaic business model where the rights are given to local distributors that have no purpose anymore.
They are the only ones allowed to license the work in a region, so providibg a movie or selection requires separate licensing agreements for every country or region it is served in.
Businesses that manage to take fees for nothing due historic reasons need to be eliminated.
Segmented distribution, be it to exclusivity silos or regional isolation, doesn't work.
My gut prediction is that if a service has a strong correlation to the desired content, E.G. Disney+ for "kids", it MIGHT work out, at least in the short term. HOWEVER, for wider culture, and particularly with different "tv networks" and studios with content libraries split among many services, the friction of not having a single place with everything, of not having a 'streaming store', will drive many to routing around the insanity and accessing the culture they want on terms they're willing to agree to.
Short version:
* have everything, I mean it.
* cost less than basic cable (total)
* completely ad free (probably)
* offline caching is a must (road trips)
* capable of playing on anything I want (DRM free)
It's more like: check sites 1-5 looking for the movie, can't find it (or it a PPV download, OR the app/site doesn't support 5.1 DDS, its quality is bad) get frustrated go onto $torrentsite, sort by size, download one with most seeders & a larger file size wait 30-60 min and done.
Netflix used to make it easier as their app UX and quality are high so it was a one stop shop. Now i just find torrenting easier to make sure its high quality with 5.1.. however i may not be the norm.
Another often overlooked technical detail: Streaming clients and supporting the proper framerate of the content. My projector supports 24p as do most other displays, but good luck making sure that Netflix' and other streaming service clients on various devices actually output 24p and not interpolated 60Hz leading to micro stutter.
I understand that many displays have decent interpolation features these days, which hide the issues, but they are still a solution to an unnecessary problem.
A bluray or a good rip of it delivers the film in proper fashion. It's a non-issue with pirated content.
There is considerable mental overhead involved in trying to remember where your choice is hosted, cycling through redundant apps and menu pages, waiting through load times, repeatedly entering the same search terms without a proper keyboard, getting blasted with different promotions from each service, etc.
It's a stupid and frustrating experience and every time it happens is a reminder that my interests as a customer rank dead last after all of these companies slice and dice their cultural fiefdoms into separate packages to squeeze a little extra revenue. Calling it a few finger budges is reductive, it's an insulting and tiresome rigmarole of hoops that I have to jump through just because they wanted to squeeze some more money.
This is why in my circle we set up the town pump plex server. Originally it was for streaming older movies (pre 1970) which you can't stream from any major service but the new era of fragmentation has drastically expanded it. We bought a retired datacenter rack and everyone contributes a few bucks a month to cover running costs. Then we have scripts scraping the top x movies/shows from torrent sites once a week and a little web ui for adding individual magnet links or uploading files directly. It's so much easier to find things when they aren't changing availability every 2 months (netflix et al).
This makes me wonder if there's a luxury service somewhere providing the kind of access people want at an expensive, but reasonable price. So I don't have to go about building and maintaining a public resource.
Sure, but unless you use Reddit on a regular basis, why would you even consider adding "reddit" to the search query?
To be fair, just searching for "plex" does return Reddit results, though not on the first page (for me anyway, Google personalizes search results). It's no longer the Wild West of Internet, and it turns out information doesn't want to be free, it wants to live in invite-only areas who's members are vetted before invitation. DMCA take-downs can't be sent if the material can't be found.
Easy: The MPAA and every other organization that views copyright infringement as an evil that must be quashed and would seek to shut it down.
To be clear, I'm willing to pay for content, and have a small library of shows and movies sprawled across Google, Amazon, and Apple's offerings that I "own", it's just far more convenient to have all my media in one place: Plex.
>We bought a retired datacenter rack and everyone contributes a few bucks a month to cover running costs.
Everyone does a bit of pirating here and there, and I think the media companies realize it's a cost of doing business. But something tells me they wouldn't look too fondly on an organised, multi-user pirated content distribution platform...
Here in Canada there are some big chains (Best Buy, Staples) being sued for telling people at point-of-purchase that they can watch free content on an Android box.
It has become fairly common. I have multiple friends with large, shared Plex libraries. This isn't sharing with the public, it's sharing among known friends.
Mind you, most peer-to-peer sharing protocols work by having everyone be distributor and downloader at the same time.
This is why they are "peer to peer". The bittorrent protocol for example downloads files in fragments, and every fragment that you have downloaded becomes available for other clients (i.e. you start becoming a server as soon as you have downloaded one fragment)
Maybe you could argue that doing so for profit is different legally but its hard to argue that freely enabling others to do what you are doing is fundamentally ethically worse than doing so yourself.
I don't think there is a fundamental moral right to a particular pattern of bits in the first place to defend.
we're in the weeds now, but: sort of. the pirate bay doesn’t distribute anything — it just indexes it — but actually getting content via the pirate bay involves torrenting the content. and torrent is a tech that makes every downloader also an uploader to peers.
Freenas + plex, deluge and openvpn for torrenting (inside a container), iris to host the web front-end, scripts are all just python. I'm sure there are more legit solutions for web scraping but I just parse the html and it hasn't broken on me so far. One set of sites to query for "top x sites", pass titles along to torrent aggregator searches when there are no magnets. Then the important practical step is a background queue to re-encode the video to a standard format and bitrate. I'd rather not open source it because of how dirty the setup is, I just hacked something together one weekend and it's been running for almost 5 years now with minimal maintenance.
Edit: I think iris was something I did more recently, I don't remember what it was using originally. I just wanted to play with go a little bit. The "front end" itself is a single page with an upload button and a box to paste a magnet link, it's not like it's doing much. Plex does all the real work here.
When effort is required is as important as how much effort is required. Sure, if I want to watch something on my Plex server I have to have put the content on the server in the first place, but I can do that at my leisure. When I want to watch that content, it’s there, and I don’t have to spend 10 minutes with my dinner getting cold while I try to find the thing I want to watch.
Like I said, the original goal was to have something to stream old movies. There is no service I could reliably find things pre-1970, especially the cardboard era of special effects. I'm a huge fan of the hammer horror films and every now and again I'll want to watch Mothra or Metropolis. Good luck finding anywhere to stream them outside of the "watch x online" sites which generally have poor quality or are mislabeled.
The torrenting features were tacked on later, and honestly I don't think it was much work at all. Setting up a proxy credit card just to sign up for another subscription service is more annoying to me than playing with server gear for a weekend.
> People who had cut the cord... As long as you don't care about the zeitgeist...
That's not really what it's about. You have no idea how utterly janky Plex and torrenting is. People on Hacker News find IT stimulating, so their experience is basically moot. It's like trying to predict trends based on a nerd's hot take of the iPod.
It has always been about enforcement. Seen in this lens, the hassle of pirating movies is itself a form of enforcement of copyright protections, even if the IT is not a legal instrument.
Enforcement has definitely weakened. Why though? It wasn't limited to bad PR, although again the Hacker News crowd is wildly incomparable to the population at large when it comes to issues like this.
What has changed is that TV makers are also now Internet providers. They are recouping the costs of piracy by raising your Internet prices. They don't make content you consume in the rest of the world, so naturally in the rest of the world fast Internet is dirt cheap.
Calling this a consequence of consolidation is accurate! It's just not about consolidation among ISPs, but between producers and ISPs.
And on top of that, all the people who held onto the cord were subsidizing your television. Now that they finally cut the cord, who's going to pay for it?
> That's not really what it's about. You have no idea how utterly janky Plex and torrenting is.
I don't know anything about Plex, but torrenting is pretty effortless compared to figuring out which streaming service what you want to watch is on, figuring out how to get that, evaluating other content it has trying to justify the price, figuring out how to get it to your tv, and figuring out how to use it. The only thing I've seen that confuses people about torrenting is having to open a port.
I think the thing that limits torrenting is the ISP emails, not any of this "nobody cares about your nerd stuff" know-nothing pseudo folk wisdom. People figure it out in five minutes, it looks too easy so it feels criminal, then they get an email from their ISP, so they retreat back to the difficult stuff out of paranoia because they vaguely remember stories about people getting in absurdly disproportionate trouble for it.
For your conspiracy to be valid, I'd have to see significant evidence that internet costs have gone up in the US. Mine have gone down. Evidence that it's cheaper in other parts of the world is utterly irrelevant.
>> torrenting is pretty effortless compared to figuring out which streaming service what you want to watch is on, figuring out how to get that, evaluating other content it has trying to justify the price, figuring out how to use it, and figuring out how to get it to your TV
Damn. You just nailed this. In fact, hearing it this way makes me confused as to why anyone would ever use a streaming service to start.
I live in Canada - which is just an awful country to be in for seeing the message 'this video is not available in your country'. For years, I exclaimed 'this is dumb and just makes me visit the Pirate Bay next, it won't be long before other people do, too'.
You know what I wish was still open? Blockbuster. I miss walking out to a store, picking out a movie, pretty much any movie I wanted (new releases might be picky/choosy) - and renting it for a couple days for $2-3. That...honestly seemed like the best all-around deal for movie producers and consumers.
The infographic that Cory Doctrow links to from the page below, which was created back in the "DVD" days, is also still quite relevant to the current "which service is it on" world we are entering.
Replace the "unskippable 'you criminal' you" DVD previews with the descriptions of determining where, what, when, etc.
The 300 separate streaming services need to understand that they need a friction level very close to the "if you are a pirate" box at the top in order to prevent their customers from returning to the pirate route. And having 300 separate services, with disjoint content, is not at all near the friction level of the "if you are a pirate" box at the top of the infographic.
> I miss walking out to a store, picking out a movie, pretty much any movie I wanted (new releases might be picky/choosy)
I don't think this is an option anymore. There was never a time when a Blockbuster store's collection could match Netflix/Hulu/Prime. In particular, there's so much more media being created now, that there's no way a physical shelf space could keep up. If you consider just TV, think about how many more channels there are compared to the heyday of Blockbuster. I just checked Fandango, there's over 20 movies opening this week alone. How could a Blockbuster keep up with that? I think the reason it felt that way might be related to the paradox of choice. There were fewer options, we got the "lottery win"/dopamine hit from finding that new movie when there was only one copy left to rent, etc. I think our brains artificially limited the set of things we "wanted" to watch to what was on the shelf, which was surely never that robust of a collection compared to what you get from something like Netflix today.
"Voice and subtitles not available in your language" For literally the first recommended film on Google play movies. Scroll through it a little bit and it seems like original languages are not available, closed captions are never available and the only subs available is not my preferred language (google also warns me for this).
This is ridiculously often the usual experience outside the US, if the content is legally available at all... Or I can just torrent the same content with my desired subs/dubs or buy a game on steam an play it in my desired language...
A subscription service wants to be paid to cause me endless anxiety over a service that could not work when I want it because, for example, I'm in the wrong country or on the wrong network and could be withdrawn at any time and without notice.
If you want to rent a movie both Google Play and Amazon still have you covered. TV shows though are a different topic now that streaming providers are making their own content.
I was going to suggest RedBox, but then I found out that they shut down in Canada. In the US, they're a good replacement for Blockbuster for new releases.
What percentage of URLs returned from a google search of "the pirate bay" are fraudulent and serve malware? What percentage of torrenting clients are some degree of badware.
You can find the good ones, but if my parents were going to torrent stuff they'd either be scared away or end up with crap on their computer.
I totally agree. Torrenting (and other piracy) is easy until a necessary part in your workflow is taken down. Finding a replacement is a pain, unless you have someone giving recommendations. Thankfully TPB and co seem quite durable.
Kodi plus an add-on is actually easier to navigate than a lot of paid services. And it's not torrenting so no worries about a copyright infringement notice.
I go paid services first but many times it's so janky i say fuck it and launch the add-on and it works.
The Plex server is basically OK, the trouble you have is with the Plex clients.
I bought an Xbox One instead of a PS4 even though I like the anime games on the PS4 because the Xbox One has a perfect Plex client and the PS4 client is known to be "janky"
I struggled with cheap Android TV devices and broke down and bought a NVIDIA Shield TV because it has a perfect Plex client too with adequate hardware.
> You have no idea how utterly janky Plex and torrenting is.
Compare these experiences:
1. Search Netflix. Discover it's not there.
2. Search Amazon. Discover they have it, but it's not available for free as part of your subscription.
3. Search Hulu. Leave Hulu, because it's not there.
4. Finally go back to Amazon and rent the movie, not sure why you're paying for Prime if you still have to pay on top of that for half the stuff you watch.
5. Watch your content, with network interruptions if you're new popular releases (i.e. recent Game of Thrones).
6. Pay three monthly bills every month, a large percentage of which gets you overlapping content, but only pays to the content creators for the service you watch it on.
Versus:
1. Search a torrent site.
2. Select a save location in your torrent client.
3. Go make popcorn.
4. Watch your content uninterrupted by network issues or ads, for free, even if you're not connected to the internet.
Which is the janky experience?
And this is if you remove regions and internet connection reliability from the equation.
I'm not arguing you should torrent, incidentally. My preferred experience is to purchase content directly from the content creators when possible.
EDIT: Okay, sure, there are some use paths where streaming services are easier. But my point here isn't to say that streaming is worse, it's to say that torrenting is absolutely comparable and not some highly technical, difficult thing to do.
Your step 1 should really be, spend enough time on the internet to gain enough clout to get invited to a private tracker, and then maintain your seed ratio so you dont get kicked off.
Otherwise if you're downloading stuff off the pirate bay it's either going to get you nailed pretty quickly for IP infringement, or you'll end up with fake files and a virus thats labeled as a codec you need to install.
Running a VPN or seedbox or any of the other numerous things to get around this (usenet is my own weapon of choice) results in what may be for you and I an easy or even fun activity, but not for my sisters kid or whatever.
> Otherwise if you're downloading stuff off the pirate bay it's either going to get you nailed pretty quickly for IP infringement
I don't know much about private trackers because I don't actually torrent illegally (I pretty much only use torrents to seed Linux distros). But I'm skeptical "getting nailed" is actually much of a concern. I had a roommate not long ago who torrented illegally quite frequently. The only reason we know it was happening is we'd receive love letters from the ISP every few weeks, and while I suspect I know who was doing it, I'm not 100% sure. As far as I know there were never any consequences beyond that.
> you'll end up with fake files and a virus thats labeled as a codec you need to install
I am pretty skeptical that this is as common as you think it is. Certainly the kind of naive person who is installing codecs that unexpectedly were packaged with their files is not going to have an easy time on any part of the internet. And if you're using a site like EZTV the chances of this approach negligible.
> Running a VPN or seedbox or any of the other numerous things to get around this (usenet is my own weapon of choice) results in what may be for you and I an easy or even fun activity, but not for my sisters kid or whatever.
I use NordVPN (again, not for illegally torrenting--I originally got it for testing internationalization, but nowadays mostly use it because it's a middle ground between the privacy of Tor and the speed of un-proxied internet). The toolbar icon makes it pretty easy. I suspect the main barrier here would be even knowing that VPNs exist and wanting to pay for it, not actually using a VPN service once you have it.
The DMCA stuff got more serious since BMG vs Cox in 2015. Now ISPs have to have a policy about repeat infringers that includes cutting off internet service. Cox got sued again (twice I think? kinda lost track) https://torrentfreak.com/cox-highlights-double-standard-and-... so ISPs are getting even more nervous.
I turned off my ad blocker and all other Chrome extensions and tried again before taking this screenshot, and really have no idea what you're talking about.
For what it's worth my Roku has a search feature that populates a list of all streaming services (including rentals) that a movie or tv show you search for is on.
I've seen plenty of sites that also combine all the streaming service lists and let you search for specific movies or just browse based on genre.
Could it maybe be easier? Sure. But I'd argue it's still a lot easier than pirating...
I mean the assumption here is that people open up a service knowing what they want to watch beforehand and/or without knowing where to find it. Those parameters are rarer than you'd think.
So your argument is that the value-added of i.e. Netflix is that it allows people to avoid typing i.e. "crime TV shows 2019" into their browser's search bar?
It's not really a comment on value-add, more on content consumption habits. All I know for sure is that exclusive content is the biggest factor in lowering churn and showing it up front in a catalog is the best way to get people to know it exists. And if you keep them on your platform, they're not going to even think about typing a query into a browser to find out what to watch next - you've already told them.
> And if you keep them on your platform, they're not going to even think about typing a query into a browser to find out what to watch next - you've already told them.
It is sad to me that this is how you consider your fellow human beings.
Putting aside how disrespectful this assumption is to your users, I don't think it's true for all your users. It may be true for enough of your users that it looks like a good idea in A/B testing, but I'd guess there are enough users who don't want to be treated like a child being told what to watch, that some significant number of them are going to go elsewhere. Some of those who leave will go pirate the content they want.
Ultimately, I think bundling content with your platform and trying to force users to buy one to have the other is anticompetitive, and harmful to users, so it shouldn't be surprising that some users are looking outside platforms for their content.
I don't personally think that (nor do I work for any of those businesses directly), that's just the design goal of streaming platforms. They're hyper optimized to keep users subscribed, and whether or not natural viewing/discovery habits play into that and are exploited is up for debate.
>It may be true for enough of your users that it looks like a good idea in A/B testing
It's really impossible to say since everyone's numbers are biased and no one shares them. But what I was getting at originally was that the use case highlighted by OP was not the common case. Users don't search various services looking for a specific piece of content, they usually pull up to follow what they were watching previously or to browse a catalog, where the twisted incentives come into play is when a user finishes the content and the platform tries to keep them hooked.
>I'd guess there are enough users who don't want to be treated like a child being told what to watch
I mean that's fair, but also a bad characterization. There are certainly bad incentives at play when you want to do everything to keep content discovery in a feedback loop, but there's not exactly an alternative when the people you need to license content from are your streaming competitors.
>Ultimately, I think bundling content with your platform and trying to force users to buy one to have the other is anticompetitive
I get the arguments for that, and I agree with some of them. But right now services compete on the merits of content itself, and as a result we have more content being created that's more diverse and at lower prices. When HBO Max and Disney+ go up we'll see how massive back catalogs affect the space, but right now the prevailing wisdom is to throw money at content creators - and I appreciate that as a content consumer.
If you want the opposite of streaming, look at movie theaters. They don't compete on content availability - yet the diversity of content is down, barrier to entry is high, and prices have been rising for years.
> Users don't search various services looking for a specific piece of content
This is a very black and white statement, and as such I can directly say it is wrong because I do this.
If you meant "most users", I'd like to see what the breakdown is. Even if "most" is true, if a significant portion don't, then a significant portion has an incentive to pirate because streaming services don't fit their use case.
> they usually pull up to follow what they were watching previously or to browse a catalog,
Following what they were watching previously is looking for a specific piece of content...
It's a fairly simple case to solve, but it also breaks when the streaming service you're subscribed to no longer licenses the show you were watching--again, going back to the problem of needing multiple streaming services to gain access to all content.
> If you want the opposite of streaming, look at movie theaters. They don't compete on content availability
Huh? Yes they do. Maybe at one time people went to the movies and just saw whatever was playing, but now people look up what's showing online, and if there isn't anything they want to see, they don't go. It would be inconvenient not to, because you might show up at a time when no movies are starting and have to wait.
> - yet the diversity of content is down, barrier to entry is high, and prices have been rising for years.
Only one techhead person has to setup the system, and then share access to it with all of their friends. And then given everyone's total inability to keep a secret, logins get shared far and wide. Those friends just open the app, find a show, and hit play. On the backend, there's an RSS feed hooked up to an auto-downloader, because DevOps is all about automating toil, and finding, downloading, and then futzing with VLC to find and play the file, is the definition of toil.
I have no idea how many people know someone who's dedicated enough to setup such as system, but there are many such systems, so I don't think it's moot. Nor is this a prediction of the future, this exists, with many users already.
Who's going to pay for it? Netflix. Despite not needing to pay them to watch their shows, Netflix still gets my money. Netflix pays producers for shows that are on Netflix, so those producers still get my money. It's going to be a hard sell to pay for additional services, as the post we're commenting point out.
The non-Netflix services that will survive, regardless, is anything that must be watched in real-time, aka sports. Those add up quick! NFL, NBA, MLB, and UFC all charge a pretty penny to watch their events live. There are pirate streams though, but for dedicated fans, on the real thing is good enough.
Remember Popcorn Time? When it worked, it was amazing. It has better UX than any regular content provider can provide because you don't even need sign in credentials or to enter a credit card.
There is also no technical barrier to streaming torrented video on the web. Peertube etc demonstrate distributed video effectively.
Popcorn Time is still working and still awesome. I just watched a movie yesterday. I'm a Netflix subscriber, but living in China.
Usually Netflix works fine with Astrill VPN, but not since 2 days, so yeah, I'm back on Popcorn Time thanks to their awesome geographic blockage.
Anecdotally I have several "non techy" friends who pirate movies. They just bought a pre-loaded "stick" plugged it into their TV and bam, it works. They don't even fully realize (or admit) they are pirating.
I think there is a model for rotating streaming provider. You can easily watch a year's worth of a provider's [good] content in 3 months.
Just change provider every 3 months to a different one, then binge it all.
Maybe a service that automatically deactivates your account at the best point in the billing-cycle? If you could do it without too much overlap you could actually do it on a monthly basis:
It's a workaround, but it's still making streaming feel more like cable TV, since now you again have to watch shows according to a schedule.
The core selling point of streaming movies and shows is the "on demand" part. It removes an entire dimension from the problem of planning movie nights or your personal entertainment. If a show is available on the service you're subscribing to, you can watch it any time you want. With enough shows available, this boiled down to "any time I want to watch something, there's something interesting to me available".
Now with the balkanization of streaming space and people already doing provider rotation manually, the experience becomes more like this: "sorry hon, we won't be watching X tonight because it's on HBO, and we're switching to it next month, and Y we wanted to check out just got pulled from Netflix and is on CBS now, which is not worth paying for, and Z is geolocked everywhere, so I guess we have to find something else...".
... which can be quickly followed by: "you know what, I saw a streaming site that's not exactly official, but it costs like $4/month for ad-free experience, has every show you can name available - even ones nobody streams anymore - and guess what, it's perfectly legal to use; so screw the official platforms, and let's watch X tonight".
> It's a workaround, but it's still making streaming feel more like cable TV, since now you again have to watch shows according to a schedule.
This already happens now if you're only subbed to Netflix.
They are constantly removing titles.
It definitely starts to feel like a schedule because now it's like "I have to watch this before October 1st otherwise it'll be pulled".
The worst is when you deal with series too. Like casually watching a 6 season series and you get to the end of season 1, give it a break for a bit but then when you want to resume it a month or 2 later the entire thing is gone.
Combined with a horrible browsing ability for your watch list and you end up adding these great shows to your list but then 2 months later you have no idea how many of them are gone since you can only browse like 6 titles at a time on your watch list that might have hundreds of titles.
Once you feel pressured into watching things due to a fear of missing out you've entered a dangerous place and this is when people will begin looking for alternatives.
Edit: I don't think this is a positive thing for Netflix. And trying to keep up with it probably would just give customers anxiety. But it's a constant reminder that you don't really get to watch what you want with Netflix, which I think is useful to be reminded of now and then.
Yes but the experience for this is very poor. Now you need to browse a different site on a very regular basis to remember exactly what's coming and going.
If you can barely remember what you ate for dinner 6 nights ago, how are you going to remember the ~50 titles they are removing at varying days in September?
Plus, sites and patterns like this just further fuel the "better watch what Netflix says to watch" motto. Your viewing selections are shaped by what's coming and going instead of what you want to watch.
Yeah until they spread out releases of a program over long periods to force you to keep a subscription. Eg Hulu and Disney (1).
The reason people pirate is they want to watch WHAT they want, WHEN they want, in the REGION they want and on the DEVICE they want. The content makers want to control all those things.
And they will leave money on the table because of it. That ship has sailed, and people don't want "appointment TV" anymore.
I will stop short of saying they will "fail" because we all know they won't, they have too much money, but I think they will certainly discourage people from giving them money if they try to enforce some drip-feed delivery model just to squeeze more money out of their customers.
Expanding on this, I wonder how much money all these supposedly "struggling" companies are burning building data centers and the required backbone to support all these stupid streaming services for the various walled gardens of content?
I mean they could just host their stuff on Netflix/iTunes/Amazon but no let's build an entire new server farm doing the exact same work, likely on the exact same hardware and the exact same software, because some executive somewhere got a bug in his ass about Apple taking 30% for providing merely a marketplace, userbase, advertising, delivery model, customer support...
Idk. From a non-industry person this seems like common sense, but I also don't understand how VC backed companies burning billions of dollars to schedule McDonalds deliveries is a long-term business model so maybe this is just some galaxy brain business head stuff.
If all use Amazon or Google to stream then there is not that much extra expense.
IMO I prefer to buy a game from the developer and get it cheaper or give the money to the creator but this days most games are on stores and not on the dev website, a good example is Minecraft ,it would probably be more expensive if it would have been on Steam and I would have to install the Steam client to play the game, and I could not play game A on my PC and my son to play game B on his PC, I am forced to use the trick of getting into offline mode.
Developers could have discounts when the game gets older.
My point is that in some cases Steam or Apple taking 30% is too much, now that Steam has some competition they made some deals with big publisher but this big percentage are to large for some products.
In this debate though many people ignore the creators and feel entitled that the app,game or movie be on his preferred store and using his preferred payment method.
I am sure there are cases where the store works great too.
Well Minecraft always had it's own launcher since it left beta. I think they've mostly just kept the same system for the Java version because it's what people are used to, and there's a huge community around modding it.
There is a version of Minecraft on the Microsoft Store but it's not nearly as popular.
Though unrealistic, all things considered, there needs to be a single site for everything (akin to pirated tv/film sites, incidentally).
The user would go to a central place where all streaming options are available to be browsed and watched. The point of differentiation would be at payment, as the cost to the user, for whatever they just selected, would go to those who own the rights. No walled gardens, everyone wins. The user pays one monthly price, or within a fixed range. How to figure that all out, well, that's where complexities arise.
My personal soltuion, thus far, is to pay for the service I'm using the most (currently, MhZ Choice), then find other solutions for that which I don't pay for.
> Though unrealistic, all things considered, there needs to be a single site for everything (akin to pirated tv/film sites, incidentally).
I'm from the Netherlands. I live in Sweden. In both countries the banks have been able to set up a shared service to make digital payments easy for consumers, despite them being competitors[0][1]. In the Netherlands we also have one national transport chip-card used by all public transport providers[2].
Based on that I would say that what this may need is just the right amount of (and type of) government regulation to force the different competitors to play nice enough to create a better end-product for consumers and to compete healthily with each other. I won't pretend to know what that regulation would look like though.
Technical aspects are trivial - pirate streaming sites have no problem managing a single portal that pulls from a wide array of video sources and players.
The problem is with the exclusive deals, with the IP holders ruining the space for everyone in an attempt to maximize short-term revenue (it will kill their long-term revenue), perhaps thinking this is battle royale, and they obviously will be a platform that wins in the end.
I don't think it's the Highlander end-game they are envisioning, rather there seems to be a drive towards a new (imagined) equilibrium with specific streaming services servicing specific demographics — like Disney is aiming straight for the 'wholesome and family-friendly'-niche.
Of course we all lose as consumers (until you hoist the Jolly Roger in despair).
Disney owns wayyy too many different subsidiary companies and IPs to just focus on wholesome, family programming. Like they own Fox, FX, ESPN, National Geographic, Hulu, Lucasfilm, Pixar, Marvel Entertainment, huge chunks of other networks like A&E and Vice Media.
You know that hip, edgy Vice News, the one with stories about doing drugs in war torn Africa? Yeah Disney owns like ~16-20% of that.
Amazon could be this. Hulu could be this. They both have a foot in the water with add-on subscriptions. The site that's best suited might actually be YouTube.
Until the streaming services go full circle: show is only visible money to Friday next episode next week. When all episodes are "aired" they start from episode one from Monday to Friday. So that you need to be subscribed for several months. (that's when they go back to more episodes which they just cut to 10)
Unlikely. I pay for NowTV in the UK and that is showing more and more ads
Or at least I did, until they put the price up and I noticed they had bundled in another service without me realising and I was actually paying 3 times more than I thought. Had been meaning to cancel for a while, but that made me pull the trigger
I end up doing this organically with HBO. When Westworld/Silicon Valley/Game of Thrones comes out I'll subscribe. But after that, there's usually only 1 new movie on there that I'm interested in so I cancel it.
Considering the actual compression quality of HBO is much worse than Netflix or Amazon and the app sucks to use, it seems like they don't have the resources at HBO to actually do streaming well.
Overall, it doesn't really seem like an efficient way to buy content for either them or me. It's like if a studio made their own DVD player.
I look forward to Netflix et al removing the account deactivate button from our profile pages in favor of a phone number that calls into an IVR Labyrinth.
Well, I bet that if you are able to show in a small damages court that unsubscription was made unreasonably hard, you'll get them not only to throw away your debt, but also get some nice amount from the company as image damage reparation.
It's a hassle, but this makes companies not willing to go after the debt.
So they just don't suspend your account even if billing fails, then after a year or so they can go after the price for 12 months of access.
Alternatively, they can do the same as the ISPs around here: jack up the sticker price, then give a large discount - conditional on your permanence as a client for X months. If you decide to cancel, you have to pay them back the discount accrued.
If the contract states that you are responsible for payments until you cancel the contract, then the failed payments would (could?) simply result in your debt being sent to a collection agency. Defaulting on a payment isn't always a good way to end a contract.
You pay for a month and then receive service. In order for that to work they would have to keep providing service to users who's credit card rejected the payment.
Then the model simply shifts:
1. Get credit card numbers illegally
2. Create Netflix accounts with those credit cards
3. Sell those accounts on EBay, even after the user reports the card as stolen it will continue to work.
My credit card is stolen every other year. Somehow XBox live (for my son) has no problem figuring out how to keep charging me, despite the number changing.
Credit card companies will often honor recurring payments on a “real” card number reported stolen. This is for your convenience so a stolen card doesn’t mean a cessation of all services. You’re supposed to update these companies with your new number.
That’s not going to happen with a virtual card you canceled.
“Your circle” unless it includes families with small kids, isn’t Disney’s primary audience. Most normal middle class people aren’t going to go through the trouble of pirating movies and setting up a Plex server and then worry about setting up their router to get a good connection while they are away from home and even then deal with the abysmally slow upload speed of the typical home network instead of spending $8 a month to just have the convenience of Disney+ to be a glorified babysitter.
In 2003, people said that the iTunes music store was going to be a disaster. Who would pay to download music when they could get it for free. That worked out pretty well.
>Most normal middle class people aren’t going to go through the trouble of pirating movies and setting up a Plex server and then worry about setting up their router to get a good connection while they are away from home and even then deal with the abysmally slow upload speed of the typical home network instead of spending $8 a month to just have the convenience of Disney+ to be a glorified babysitter.
Depending on the country, you'd be surprised.
I'm not sure why Disney has the hold it has in the US, but in most of Europe I know it's nothing special (to the point of being a "must have" brand). Kids can just sit in front of regular kids TV channels. And normal middle class families can and do pirate all the time...
Moreover, it's not like there aren't pirate streaming services available. In fact, I can't think of anyone non-technical I know who torrents anything; they all stream movies from pirate player sites. It's easier, and also perfectly legal for the viewer.
Short videos maybe, but I don't think I know anybody, young or old, who cares of streaming full movies on mobile. Maybe some outliers who watch their series on their commute...
The vast majority watch movies when they are at home...
So are you saying that all of the media streaming companies are wasting money creating mobile apps based on the "people you know"? Is the whole industry under the delusion that their apps are needed? Should they focus on just “people you know” or the entire mobile market?
>So are you saying that all of the media streaming companies are wasting money creating mobile apps based on the "people you know"?
You make it sound like they waste some fortune on those, so it necessarily has to have a huge market to justify building one.
On the contrary, regardless of whether they have a big mobile watching userbase (and I'm wrong) or not (and I'm right), it still makes sense to have a mobile app.
First, the mobile app budget is a drop in the bucket compared to their operating costs (bandwidth, marketing, offices, license deals, etc). So there's not much of a waste even if nobody uses it, which makes making a mobile app available a no-brainer.
Second, it would bad (competition wise) not having one anyway, even if few really use it...
Third, even if it's just e.g. 10% that watches movies on mobile, why not get them too?
Fourth, it's note that they actually invest specially in their mobile apps to begin with. Usually they use some cross platform framework they use for their web and/or desktop version.
Fifth, do you have better numbers, or some other empirical observations from people you know? Do you see rampant movie watching on the go?
Well seeing that there is no “cross platform framework” to support AirPlay, integration with the TV app, integration with cable providers single sign on authentication that’s built into the OS (you add your TV provider to iOS and most apps use that with your permission) that’s obviously not the case.
As far as the direction that video viewing is going.
The difference in time was even more pronounced for younger Americans, with people 18 to 34 spending 1 hour and 51 minutes on live and time-shifted TV and 3 hours and 25 minutes on the web or apps on smartphone and tablets in the third quarter of last year, Nielsen said.
People like the ability to stream from the phone, but the same mobile apps also target tablets, which are very much used as portable TVs.
Still, I don't see your problem. Given how good browsers are on mobile, a pirate streaming site isn't that much worse or less convenient on a phone than Netflix or YouTube app. You select the video you want to watch, tap Play, tap "full screen", and enjoy the show.
Well, we also have statistics on the number of phones sold per year and the number of tablets. People are buying fewer tablets than phones and that is attributed mostly to people buying larger phones.
Also, it takes some amount of extra work to create an iPad app than an iPhone app. Once again, is the entire media industry delusional or should they be taking advice from HN users?
Why do you think them making apps implies they're used a lot? It's enough that they're used some of the time by some subset of users to make it worth it to them - they get to have more control over experience, more ability to scoop data, and they can offer the ability to locally cache whole movies, which they can't do in a browser.
Yes, and I keep telling you that mainstream movie piracy nowadays isn't torrents but streaming websites operated by pirates, that look and work similarly to YouTube or Netflix, except all the videos are pirated.
No. What I call "working similarly" is the following:
- I type "fili.cc" in my Firefox on Android
- I don't like anything currently in suggestions, so I tap on the search box, type in "Avengers", and press Search
- I tap the first result, as it is the movie I'm looking for
- On the move page, I tap on one of the players listed
- A video box loads, I press its Play button, then Full Screen button, and watch the movie
It's literally one tap more than Netflix; since this is a site curating pirated streaming sources, I have to pick one of the "players" (each representing a movie source with a bundled JS player).
fili.cc is one of many of such sites; different people I know have their own favorites.
And I get a blank screen on ios -- you know the platform that close to half the US mobile phone population in the US use and way more than half of middle and upper income households use.
So do none of the "people you know" use iOS devices?
>And I get a blank screen on ios -- you know the platform that close to half the US mobile phone population in the US use and way more than half of middle and upper income households use.
The US is like 4% of the planet. The world is much bigger than New York, North Platte, Dallas, and Des Moines combined, and there are many countries where what the parent said is common place...
To put it in perspective, Netflix has something like 151 subscribers worldwide. The other 7.3 billion people use something else, and it's not Hulu or Disney...
Perhaps one or two of the people I know personally have an iPhone; I'm in Europe, and here Android is the dominant hardware. I do sometimes see people with iPhones as I take the bus, recently increasingly often, but it's still far from dominant platform here. As I said, there are many similar sites - this one is primarily targeted to Polish audience, where Android is dominant. Maybe a different site works better on Safari. Maybe US equivalents care about iOS users more.
According to the stats -- iOS has a 25% market share in Europe. (https://gs.statcounter.com/os-market-share/mobile/europe). If it is the same trend as in the US, iOS is more heavily represented by the more affluent population.
More affluent population is more likely to just pay for half dozen streaming services, forgetting they're even subscribed to some of them. But all the remaining majority of the population is both price-sensitive and more likely to use Android.
That the people who are willing to jump through hoops to save $8.99 a month are not Disney’s or any other services target demographics. You can make quite a bit of money ignoring poor people and staying out of the race to the bottom. See Apple.
Or more relevant see Disney. Disney makes a killing with its resorts where the price per ticket is $100+ per day and most people pay for more than one day, but souvenirs, and stay at one of their hotels.
Tell me more about how R. Kelly and Disney fans are similar. Share your point by point analysis and include examples. Maybe you would like to bring Taylor Swift into the discussion?
It's unclear which you ascribe to but it's curious that you don't take offense to either being compared to Evangelicals.
In either case, they're both almost a Cult of personality. The fans are so adorant of their object that they often overlook glaringly evil deeds. At the same time, the level of manipulation exhibited and the devotion demanded by the personality is extreme to the point that outsiders see it as absurd.
Idk, maybe it's just me but I find fanaticism to be very off putting in general. When the idol asks fans to make sacrifices to stay it in their favor, that's when it crosses a line into creepy.
Disney walks a fine line where it expertly cultivates that culture while simultaneously pretending it doesn't exist and remaining open and accessible to everyone.
"The fans are so adorant of their object that they often overlook glaringly evil deeds."
This verges on the tautological though, given that "fan" is short for "fanatic"; you're complaining that fanatics are fanatics. Well... yeah, but so? I don't think you can directly impute the behavior of the fans on to the target of their fandom. (You can draw some indirect conclusions, but it involves at least a few steps of lower reliability and propositions people will find debatable.)
Eh, that's its (probable) origin, but I'd say the two have diverged in meaning; "fan" nowadays doesn't have the same connotation of extreme and uncritical zeal of "fanatic."
Perhaps not in depth of harm but in breadth it far surpasses R. Kelly.
Disney has been accused of gross labor and environmental violations across the globe. So while R. Kelly has caused severe damage to a few, Disney has caused minor to moderate damage to a great number.
OK. I don't know if everyone would agree with your somewhat reductive view on Disney, how is it fair to compare an entire company and enterprise to a single man. This feels like you are looking at two wildly different things and connecting them with very thin lines.
Speaking in terms of the fans, a fan of Disney who loves their parks and merchandise is accepting the misdeeds of the enterprise as a whole in much the same way that an R. Kelly fan is accepting his misdeeds.
I'm not stating that a fan of a franchise, like Marvel Comics, specifically is accepting of Disney's scope of misdeeds or even considering them a Disney fan in this case. I'm speaking directly to the Disney fan, those people who specifically travel to Disney parks multiple times a year, go on the cruises repeated, and consume the Disney branded merchandise in volume.
Although I'd prefer to have everything on Netflix, I'm definitely going to get Disney+. Not a fan of Disney the corporation, but if Disney+ contains everything Star Wars, everything Marvel, everything from Jim Henson, and everything from all their other properties, there's no way I'm going to pay for easy access to that.
We don't even watch regular TV anymore at my home. It's either Netflix or Youtube.
There's just so many Star Wars movies, and so many Marvel movies, and while I've seen most in theaters, they are basically juvenile blockbuster cookie cutter crap.
The first 3 star wars films where important for their era, but most of the later ones are just forgettable sci-fi (for non-discerning fans). Not to mention letting down parts of the canon (e.g. the Solo movie, or "Kylo Ren", a hipster/teenage goth abomination that took Darth Vader's iconic status and pissed all over it).
Marvel too has movie diarrhea, with 1 in 10 movies being anything to write home about (eg. Logan).
I'd vote for less superhero movies and less Star Wars reboots and sequels/prequels, and more original stories. Plus, where's that Foundation series?
Logan not even Marvel Studios it's 20th Century Fox so that makes it 0 in 10 :P
For me, it went from I want to see every Marvel movie in the cinema to stream it from Netflix to I won't pay any extra if it's not on Netflix.
I really like the Star Wars universe, but the only good new movie was Rogue One. It worked because it was a completely separate story only loosely tied to the original films.
Rogue One was quite strongly tied to A New Hope, I'd say.
Personally I love both anthologies, and I love them a lot more than the new trilogy (I love Luke's role, but I have doubts about where the trilogy as a whole is going). I know Solo bombed, but for me it was the movie I'd been waiting 30 years for, and I wasn't disappointed.
I don't see the MCU movies as a problem. They're doing some ridiculously bold stuff with the way they're bringing comic book attitudes to the big screen. From the weirdness in Guardians of the Galaxy and Thor Ragnarok, to wrapping up a dozen movies with dozens of main characters in Infinity War, and then ending the movie in defeat!
That stuff takes balls, and I'm enjoying it a lot.
It's true that superheroes do dominate the current movie landscape maybe a bit too much. Nerds won and now everything has to be SciFi, Fantasy, Horror or Superheroes. I wouldn't object to dialing that back a bit, but only a bit.
> There's just so many Star Wars movies, and so many Marvel movies, and while I've seen most in theaters, they are basically juvenile blockbuster cookie cutter crap.
There are at least a few of us out there who think the same as you. The one difference is I haven't watched one in the theater in years.
For Star Wars, the storyline is now split into Legends (pre-Disney acquisition) and the new canon Disney Star Wars storyline.
For the Legends storyline, I loved the X-Wings series of books (basically how the Rebels defeated the major parts of the Empire): https://www.amazon.com/dp/B01BJST00W . My favorite book in the series is The Bacta War, there's a lot of small ship action instead of the movies where huge fleets are the norm.
Also in Legends, try the Thrawn trilogy starting with Heir To The Empire https://www.amazon.com/dp/B004WBXM80/ . It's a good set of books with a real threat to the Rebellion.
As for Disney canon, frankly a lot of the books are very meh at best - many of them are just to set up Disney World/Land Black Spire Outpost land. The only one I would recommend is perhaps the new Thrawn trilogy: https://www.amazon.com/dp/1101967021/ - be warned that the second book in the trilogy (Thrawn: Alliances) gets rather slow at times, but the third book (Thrawn: Treason) is actually pretty fun.
There are only one or two Marvel or Star Wars movies a year though. Is that really worth subscribing to a streaming service for?
(Not to mention that only maybe a quarter of these movies are worth seeking out, the rest are something I’d only ever watch for free on an airplane or something. But that’s just personal taste).
There are about 20 Marvel movies, 11 Star Wars movies, and 2 Star Wars TV shows. This is not about watching them when they come out, it's about being able to watch the entire backlog whenever I want. (Assuming they make their entire backlog available, which they should.)
Also: tons of Pixar movies. And I still haven't seen The Lion King and Aladdin. Or pretty much any Disney movie other than Brave.
If it's not your thing, that's fine, but I've got two kids, and Netflix is a bit short on movies for the whole family that are fun for both kids as well as parents. They're great at stuff for just the kids or just the parents, but for the whole family is what Pixar and Disney are good at.
If you throw in the rest of Pixar and Disney animated stuff, you're still probably talking about under 100 movies total, right? One cheap usb hard drive and an afternoon on the public library's wifi and you could own non-DRM copies of all of these movies.
Plug the hard drive into the TV or mobile device. I'm pretty sure mobile devices support USB harddrives these days, but I know for sure "smart TVs" do. If you prefer dumb tvs (as I do) plug an old computer into that. Or if you want to save power, plug a new computer into it. Or get something that supports DLNA (e.g. a playstation or I believe roku's and roku-like devices) and use a DLNA server on your NAS/workstation (I use minidlna, some people I know use Universal Media Server (cross platform GUI, GPLv2.)) Or use a more commercial DLNA-like solution such as plex.
There are many options here. That's one of the upsides of pirating non-DRM media. Storage is stupid cheap and anybody on HN should be able to figure out how to get an arbitrary mp4 file onto an arbitrary screen.
The people on HN that care more about saving $8 than the headache of both finding pirated media, lugging around an external hard drive, making sure that the movie is a supported format or converting it to a supported format.
HN users seem to be way out of touch with the average user.
Virtually anything you pirate these days will be supported on virtually anything you might want to watch movies on these days. The obscure edge-cases are things that HN users might be aware of, but simply aren't a practical concern in practice. DLNA is generally the case where you might run into issues, but a transcoding DLNA server solves that problem.
Not to mention it greatly simplifies other matters. If you drop a bunch of movies onto your kids tablet, you no longer have to worry about being away from a cell tower or wifi AP. Furthermore, concerning this very article, there is the matter of too many streaming platforms existing. Maybe you only need Disney because you don't let your kids consume any other brand. But probably more likely, there are numerous desirable movies that are on one streaming platform but not another, or on none at all. And a movie that might be on a platform one year could be gone the next. A harddrive full of movies avoids all of this mess. Subscribe to two or three services a year and you'll be spending a lot more than $8 a month. Maybe it still seems trivial to you with an inflated tech salary, but I know a lot of people who think a single netflix subscription is too expensive so they share an account with other friends/family. This is pretty common.
> HN users seem to be way out of touch with the average user.
I am certainly not out of touch with my own friends and family!
Virtually anything you pirate these days will be supported on virtually anything you might want to watch movies on these days.
Roku is the most popular streaming device and it only supports H.264 for attached storage and its very picky on what it will support.
The obscure edge-cases are things that HN users might be aware of, but simply aren't a practical concern in practice. DLNA is generally the case where you might run into issues, but a transcoding DLNA server solves that problem.
So now you've added even more complexity and a regular DLNA server/client has what is far from a user friendly interface like Plex.
If you drop a bunch of movies onto your kids tablet, you no longer have to worry about being away from a cell tower or wifi AP. Furthermore,
So now we have a streaming DLNA server, transcoding, bit torrenting, and copying the movie to the device as opposed to paying $8 a month and just click "download" to put it on the device?
A harddrive full of movies avoids all of this mess. Subscribe to two or three services a year and you'll be spending a lot more than $8 a month. Maybe it still seems trivial to you with an inflated tech salary,
And the people not in tech are going to jump through all of the hoops you are suggesting?
How poor do you think the average household in the US is that close to 50% are paying for iOS devices and not going to pay $25 a month for a few streaming services? Do you realize what they are already paying for cable?
I am certainly not out of touch with my own friends and family!
Your friends and family are not a representative sample....
You don't have to implement every possible solution all at once; you pick one that works for you. If you prefer Plex, use Plex. If you prefer keeping everything on a thumb drive or your phone's SD card, do that instead. With non-DRM media you have the option to implement whatever solution you find preferable, not the obligation to implement those that you don't prefer.
And if my family can do it, I am quite sure your family can too. I think the attitude you're demonstrating here exemplifies a problem with the industry in general these days; giving non-technical people too little credit.
None of this stuff is complicated, but when a technical person such as yourself tells a non-technical person that they're incapable of wrapping their mind around something, it becomes a self-fullfilling prophecy as they're now scared of even trying. And without trying, neither of you will ever learn what their true capabilities are.
Running your own server, finding good torrents, risk getting emails from your ISP or paying for a VPN service, dealing with networking and making sure the correct port is open and then dealing with the crappy upload bandwidth that most Americans have....
If you prefer keeping everything on a thumb drive or your phone's SD card, do that instead.
Most people don't have phones with SD cards and the majority of middle class to upper middle class households in the US have iOS devices...
And if my family can do it, I am quite sure your family can too. I think the attitude you're demonstrating here exemplifies a problem with the industry in general these days; giving non-technical people too little credit.
There are plenty of people that can cook but that doesn't prevent them from eating out. Convenience beats cheap.
None of this stuff is complicated, but when a technical person such as yourself tells a non-technical person that they're incapable of wrapping their mind around something, it becomes a self-fullfilling prophecy as they're now scared of even trying. And without trying, neither of you will ever learn what their true capabilities are
It's not about what people can't do -- it's about what people don't want to do. My wife and I both have cars but when we want to spend a night out and go to downtown from the suburbs we take Uber for the convenience.
If you don't want to use SD cards, there are plenty of other methods available; at this point you're being deliberately obtuse. But I do find it amusing that you appeal to the requirements of "the majority of middle class to upper middle class" not long after accusing me of being out of touch.
And if you define the “middle class to upper class”, by definition you get 50% to 60% (3-5 quintile) of the US - the exact population that streaming products are targeting.
Seeing the box office results of Disney’s movies, your anecdotal opinion doesn’t jibe with the overall market. Besides, there will also be Disney original MCU and Star Wars TV series.
By definition, if people are collectively, willingly giving Disney billions of dollars a year for a Marvel and Star Wars movies, the market is jibing where it matters.
Still, and circling back to the main point - a movie or two per year plus a single TV show and some occasional filler content is not by itself worth keeping a service subscription at the current prices.
I really hope and assume Disney+ doesn't limit you to just the most recent movies. The whole point of these services is that you get access to everything they ever made, and in the case of Disney and all the properties they own, that's quite a lot.
I would hope so, but Disney is already known for repeatedly pulling out old works from the market and re-releasing them later on, since AFAIK the VCR era, so I wouldn't bet on them refraining from shenanigans on their streaming service.
The CEO of Disney has said that the "Disney Vault" concept is dead. That being said, they still have to wait for licensing deals to expire to have everything on Disney+.
Thanks. Though with this big a list, a list of what's missing might be more useful.
The Muppet Show seems to be missing, though there's lots of other muppet stuff. Labyrinth and The Dark Crystal are also missing, perhaps because Netflix made a new Dark Crystal show.
But what I’m talking about is if you scroll down this list, 8 of the top 100 are from Disney unless I’m missing a studio name, I’m counting BV and MGM. So those 5 are pretty much all the 2019 blockbusters you’ll get from the service in a few months.
Well 6, SpiderMan was released and financed by Sony but Disney did all of the writing and producing. Sony's last two Spiderman movies before they did a deal with Disney were a flop.
Two movies time 4 movie tickets pr movie (for a family) is pretty close to one years worth of streaming service.
If you're also the sort of person that considers popcorn an integral part of the movie watching experience then the streaming services is almost certainly cheaper even if you only watch those two movies a year.
Except the adults of families today were the kids who grew up with Napster, Limewire, and TPB so piracy has a sentimental feel to it like pulling a Nintendo out of your mom's basement.
I used Napster when it first came out, I was already 26. But as soon as the iTunes music store came out for Windows, I stopped using Napster and Kazaa. They were no longer worth the hassle. I didn’t buy an iPod until around 2005. I just made CDs.
It’s the same with video now. If I plan ahead, I will still pick up movies that fall off the back of a truck and put them on my Plex server, but often, we don’t even bother. We just rent from Amazon Prime or iTunes.
That’s even considering that I can just go to http://remote.vuze.com from anywhere on my phone and start a download on my home server.
I have actually started buying movie codes off those dodgy looking sites Disney hates. You can usually own a movie for the cost of a rental from Amazon, Google or iTunes.
I have never had a failure but I once had an issue with a purchase porting to Movies Anywhere from Google Play. Google was beyond useless in helping me out, I actually spoke with someone on the phone and it was as if they had never even seen the Play Store before. I emailed the seller about it and got an immediate email response with a couple suggestions to try before refund, the first suggestion worked.
You don't understand how low-friction piracy is these days. Only techies deal with automation and Plex.
Most people just buy a "fully loaded" android box which lists thumbnails for all the latest movies and TV shows on various file storage sites. They select a thumbnail and the movie plays. Nothing local at all, all streamed.
I'm not really looking to provide a piracy tutorial here and I don't use these services myself, but another poster is correct in that they're Kodi addons. Kodi runs on pretty much everything but most of the streaming boxes are cheap Chinese android boxes or Amazon FireTVs.
Ever heard of Kodi? That's a set-top box OS but that also is an Android App.. Then watch some youtube videos on how to install the magic box addons and you have access to millions of movies for streaming.
As hendersoon noted, nowadays, piracy is extremely low-friction.
Two problems -- middle class households in the US are overwhelmingly iOS -- not Android and that still doesn't solve the problem of mobile and having to depend on cellular connectivity to stream. Disney+ and Netflix allow you to download shows.
Middle class households are not overwhelming iOS. But even if that were true Kodi works on iOS and the streaming add-ons have an option to download it also.
That sounds terribly complicated. You know you can google "watch ... online free" and get a streamable version in the first two pages of results, right?
And I just did that for Avengers on my iPad. The first result takes me to:
- 5Movies4Free -- which then redirects me
- mobilevpn.download -- and then when I click on "Install and Register Now". It redirects me to
-"app.appsflyer.com" which then
- redirects me to the app store
- and then it just hangs
Is that really the user experience that people want as opposed to just paying $8 a month and they can stream movies to 4 devices, download on mobile so they don't have to worry about poor connectivity and they can stream to almost any device?
Not to mention your solution not only requires them to wade through shady sites, but they also would have to have a computer connected to their TV.
In the US, Apple has close to half the mobile phone market and a much larger share of the market of middle and upper income households. Do you think that people who are willing to pay Apple prices for hardware will even blink at signing up for Disney+ and Netflix instead of going through all of these contortions?
Edit: I forgot to mention that every major cellular carrier and MetroPCS (a sub brand of T-mobile) is bundling at least one streaming option as part of their family plan - except for Verizon.
Edit 2: I would have never gone through the entire process on my computer, too much of a risk of drive by downloads. I knew that it probably wouldn't do too much damage on iOS.
Agree with you. The only consistent experience for me is BitTorrent. But trying to google watching a movie for free? Does someone actually do that? It's always hundreds of popup, fake links, fake ads, and can never really get to the actual content.
Bit Torrent “consistent”? Having to worry about the quality of rips, whether there is a complete seed, titled correctly, has the right language, hard coded subtitles in another language, etc?
This is somehow more convenient than just paying $8 a month?
Even then, I would still need to pay for a VPN and no VPN provider provides the bandwidth to keep up with my gigabit internet.
Streaming sites with good SEO tend to be the riskest in terms of malware though.
Actually adding on to that, the timing of this piracy boom is really unfortunate, as the cryptoboom made it advantagous again to target home computers with malware for cryptominers. It's frustrating having to go setup shit like sandboxie for pirated software again like it's the early 2000s
Why does everything have to be "streamed" these days? Hard drives are cheap. Just have a file and playback locally or on your LAN. No special set up of some server, your router, etc. Given the $/GB curve throughout the years you'll likely never run out of space. Do people really need to do a significant amount of movie watching outside their own LAN/home?
So where are these files going to come from? Buying them from some place like iTunes or Amazon Prime Video - which is more expensive? Going through the trouble of finding a good rip on a torrent site? Ripping them themselves?
Do people really need to do a significant amount of movie watching outside their own LAN/home?
Asking this question is close to the old Slashdot meme “I haven’t owned a TV in 20 years, do people still watch TV?” Of course people watch video on mobile devices and they have for over a decade.
I’ve settled on buying physical media and ripping. The physical media serves as your backup in case of HD failure.
> Of course people watch video on mobile devices and they have for over a decade.
I suppose there are people out there who want to watch a full length movie on their 5 inch phone on a bus, but is that really a mainstream use case? I’d bet the vast majority of movie/show watching takes place in one’s home sitting in the sofa. More than willing to consider that I’m just an out of touch old guy though!
EDIT (rather than replying because apparently HN doesn’t let you post more than 5 replies a day ¯\_(ツ)_/¯)
Your points are taken and I guess I’m just out of touch! :-)
I’ve settled on buying physical media and ripping. The physical media serves as your backup in case of HD failure.
Do you think most people are going to do that?
I’d bet the vast majority of movie/show watching takes place in one’s home sitting in the sofa. More than willing to consider that I’m just an out of touch old guy though!
Yes, you are an old out of touch guy -- no offense the 74 in my name is the year I was born.
But kids especially watch a lot of movies on mobile. Most middle class adults prefer convenience over cheap and a combination of Disney+, Apple Arcade, and a $329 10.2 inch iPad in a ruggedized case or hand me down phone is a great babysitting device.
The people that do it typically have worked for media companies and just ripped the files.
Fun fact. Disney, ilm and other studio animators used to pirate the shit out of 3d software in the past. They couldn't afford a 30k license for personal learning and use.
There are VPS out there geared towards Plex/Torrenting. Mine costs ~$15 a month and came with all the bells and whistles installed, though I did some tweaking because I enjoy it.
No need to worry about your home network speed or configuring your router, it's about the price of 1 or 2 subscription services, and I get to curate my collection of TV shows I watch so I just log in and see which new ones are available.
I suppose the setup could be onerous of you find technology intimidating, but once it's working it's an absolute breeze to use.
I do agree, however, that Disney's target audience is the 'I need a faux baby-sitter' type.
I’m speaking in general. I personally have gigabit up/down, no data caps, eight wired gigabit Ethernet connections throughout the house, 3 Roku TVs, a Roku stick 2 AppleTV 4Ks and my son has an Xbox 360 and PS4 with a wired gigabit connection on his room and a gigabit switch.
Yes that’s a grand total of 6 TVs. I have a Plex server setup.
I suggest you step outside of your circle. When I did, I found that many lower and middle class parents were using pirating setups that I didn't even know existed.
For example, I learned about PopcornTime from a single parent who ran it on a laptop connected to their TV. The guy is bus dispatcher.
When I need a recommendation for a streaming site or tracker, I ask my old neighbor who works as a lab tech.
I've found that I'm generally ignorant of such things because everyone in my IT circle just pays for streaming services.
Good luck with that with all of the content being tied up by the studios.
Ask all of the money losing Android OEMs about how profitable it is in a commodity market trying to serve people who aren’t willing/able to spend money.
Not everyone in the US is starved for upstream. Not everyone is going to lose their mind if their friend's Plex doesn't have Five 9s availability -- and let's be real, with all the things that can and do go wrong between a user and a service on the Internet, Three 9s is optimistic for anything.
And whose subscription service has Fresh Prince of Bel-Air? Saved by the Bell? Countless other shows and movies that aren't available with any of them?
I have gigabit up and down via AT&T, most Americans get their internet via their cable company - cable companies always have crappy upload bandwidth around 30Mbps.
People want a reliable service and will pay for it. I have no idea why this concept is forum. Hulu and Netflix publish their numbers every quarter and about 60% of households have Amazon Prime Video (https://finance.yahoo.com/news/amazon-prime-members-59-perce...)
It doesn’t take too much to understand that enough of the American public values convenience over price to make paying for a service over the hassle of piracy worthwhile.
That's the thing. Needing more subscriptions to access the content everyone in a household wants to view is going to lower convenience and raise the (collective) price. Disney+, next is Peacock, and who knows what's next after that.
Nobody's suggesting a mass piracy uprising. But more people will look in that direction and decide that piracy can substitute for another subscription or replace all of them.
Running my own Plex server costs substantially more than subscribing to the major streaming services. I'm paying for the convenience -- it pretty much runs itself, new content appears "by magic" (Radarr/Sonarr/Trakt lists), content never goes away, I have content that no streaming subscription offers, and there's only one place to look for content.
Pirating shows and putting them on an external drive that you plug on any TV and can take with you on trips works fine and most normal middle class people can manage it though.
Any TV except the ones in most hotel rooms that lock down the HDMI input and the ones that don’t exist in most cars. Then you have the issue of the kids fighting over what to watch and wanting to watch video on their phones and tablets.
I use VLC on iOS to copy movies and shows to my iPad from a Windows share. Works perfectly fine.
In some ways it's better than Netflix/Amazon offline mode since I know my files will always work in VLC whereas I don't know ahead of time which streaming content allows offline mode or not.
Between the service fragmenting, hostile UX, and price increases I had no issue going back to piracy. I don't have a problem paying for content, but when it's significantly easier and more user friendly to just download what I want, and I can watch it on any device I want, that's what I'm going to do.
I used to pirate music because that was the easiest and most straight forward way to get what I wanted. Now I buy it from Amazon because with one click I can pay for it and get a direct download link to the DRM-free mp3s.
We used to have that. It was called cable. And for years people said "ugh why do I need to pay for espn why can't I just subscribe to the parts I want". And now we are closer to that world and everybody is saying "ugh why do I need to subscribe to different services why can't I just pay more for a service with everything".
I agree with you here, to a degree. It seems the model of “one place” for all movies would be (and has been) a huge boon for viewers. But eventually I think that “one source” would become monopolistic, and we would see consumer abuse and degraded service. If you doubt it, Who would of thought anyone would abuse their monopoly on search? Or social? Or online retail? I guess I don’t know the best long term solution....
We could have "all the content" on several different platforms. It's like going to different supermarkets, they'll have the same products. Still, you might prefer one or the other for any other reason. Instead, we're going 100% on the other direction...
No - we had this in the past - it was a thing called 'television'.
What we need is a universal platform for all of these streaming services, one app that streams Netflix, Hulu, et cetera - and, ideally - the ability to 'rent' movies or shows from the services without having to pay for a whole month.
> I feel like there's a business opportunity for a meta-service that automatically manages monthly subscriptions for you on different services
The better model would be to have all video providers make streaming available thru a common standard API, and let other companies compete on front-end/store and features instead of having ever single provider re-inventing the wheel behind walled gardens over and over again.
> I feel like there's a business opportunity for a meta-service that automatically manages monthly subscriptions for you on different services. You queue up a catalog of shows you want to watch, and it creates an optimized schedule for you and helps sign up for the individual streaming service on a given month in order to watch the show you want.
Yeah I think this is what people mean when they say they want "one service". An actual single service would mean a monopoly and extravagant prices. That being said the other streaming options are being offered up by large telecoms that dwarf Netflix in what they control.
My ps4 menu already lazily sort of implements this in it's video section with a highlight menu of available shows on various platforms.
"I feel like there's a business opportunity for a meta-service that automatically manages monthly subscriptions for you on different services. You queue up a catalog of shows you want to watch, and it creates an optimized schedule for you and helps sign up for the individual streaming service on a given month in order to watch the show you want." Basically a premium Chromecast/Roku/etc service would help seal that up I suspect......but I suspect the licensing wars are only starting to ramp up.
Happened in my circle too. But most are spontaneous consumers. They don't plan ahead if they might watch a show at some point. They like to watch a movie or series from time to time, but I don't think anyone would put in effort for a "streaming service vcr". You would need to know about shows before watching them.
Still, might work for some, but you would also get back to a point where a lack of accessibility increases piracy.
I have Netflix and Prime, and use iTunes for movie rentals, but I have no qualms about backfilling with Plex for TV shows and for movies not available via iTunes. Especially for shows that originally were available to me OTA or that were broadcast on a service that I had subscription to at the time they were broadcast. I'm just time shifting something I could have recorded at the time, right?
I think there’s also a major glut in TV shows right now. I’m not considering subscribing to anything new or pirating either. Just watching what’s available already in my existing ones.
Another thing I’m planning on doing for movies is rotating subscriptions. Use Apple TV channels to subscribe to a different one every month or so and watch the movies that’s there
I have those three services and I won't be adding any more monthly charges. Anything not on those three might as well not exist because it's not worth the risk of pirating (and my ISP blocks bittorrent anyway). So good riddance Disney, CBS, and anybody else. Your content is all dead to me.
If someone asks for payment and I don't want to watch it enough to pay them, I don't watch it.
What this has driven me to do instead is to rotate subscription services and binge seasons in a month or less. So HBO is now a 1-2 month a year subscription. Showtime, Starz, etc... one month each.
I agree. There is definitely a market for a streaming bundling service where you pay for a bundle and get subscribed to multiple services for some monthly fee which would be at a great discount to subscribing separately to each service.
Yeah, then comes the inevitable attempt at squeezing more money from people through aggressive market segmentation, and we're back to square one, except now you can reorder programming in time without using a VCR.
I think the question boils down to the gym membership oversubscription model. People can’t consume (serially) all they subscribe to, but on average might consume X%, Y% & Z% of different streams but the sum is less than 100% of all the streaming services added together.
I pirate based on principal. Most of these companies are actively trying to fuck me over as a user as much as corporately possible. I don't want to give them money. I can't help encourage this user hostile behavior.
In my family it basically led to everyone subscribing to the services that interests them the most and sharing accounts. I subscribe to Youtube TV, Netflix and sometimes Shudder. I use HBO and Hulu from my family members.
I agree with the product opportunity around smart subscription management but feel it will come from the big players who are already in the space of managing tv package subs (Amazon, Apple, Google, etc)
I subscribe to a few services, but I travel for work and half of them don’t work abroad. Haven’t yet gone back to torrenting, but I do sympathise with those that do.
We have a quality inversion at the moment. The amateurs on Youtube and other services are often 1000X better than the "original" (is it really original?) series by Netflix. Media companies are churning out pure shit and we, the public are supposed to open our mouths like babies ready to take the next "airplane" full.
Seems to me like everybody here is out of touch. It's not the 2000s anymore. Torrenting isn't the only option, or even the best option anymore. There's a crazy amount of great non-legit streaming sites where you have access to probably every movie or series you'd ever want to watch. No need to subscribe to 5 different services for 50€, I can go to one site and watch everything for free in a convenient, simple way. Everybody I know does it, especially now that Netflix is a husk of what it used to be content-wise and how terrible it's become usability-wise.
No shit. Valve worked out the key to combating piracy in the early 2000s. To quote Gaben himself:
"We think there is a fundamental misconception about piracy. Piracy is almost always a service problem and not a pricing problem. If a pirate offers a product anywhere in the world, 24 x 7, purchasable from the convenience of your personal computer, and the legal provider says the product is region-locked, will come to your country 3 months after the US release, and can only be purchased at a brick and mortar store, then the pirate's service is more valuable."
People pirate media more for convenience than to save money.
Piracy, in many cases, offers a superior product to streaming. If I go to ThePirateBay, I'm virtually guaranteed to find whatever movie I'm looking for, in 1080p (or even 4k nowadays) quality, without any DRM, which can then be easily streamed from Plex or Emby on any of my devices with no regards to regions, often with more options for subtitles and audio tracks (if you're watching anime).
I have Netflix, Hulu, and Amazon Prime, and frankly I already hate having to search all three for a movie, just to find that they don't have it anyway; I already pay enough for these services, I really have no interest in signing up for yet another just to make my search for a movie even longer.
Spotify (and nowadays Apple Music for me) has made it so that I've completely stopped torrenting music, since they offer a superior product to ThePirateBay. It has nearly any song I'm looking for, in decent quality, and there aren't banner ads for "Hot MILFs in my area!" all over the place in a convenient app that works well on my phone. They made the legal option superior, and as a result I don't mind paying the ten bucks a month for it.
I agree, the big difference between music streaming services and TV series or movies streaming services is that on every music streaming service you can find almost all the western mainstream songs by all the artists.
For TV series/movies it's very different, lots of shows, series and movies are exclusive to one streaming service and lots of shows, series and movies can't be found on any of them.
But still I don't think a majority of potential customers will be enough annoyed by the current content fragmentation to go back to piracy. Also because the piracy tools have become less and because it's still hard to find what you really want, even when using some simple as popcorn time. I just think customers will start to own more than just one subscription and will probably switch from time to time from one subscription to another to get access to the content that is exclusive to one of the streaming services that are available. The loser here is clearly the customer that will pay more for less, but it won't hurt enough to make piracy popular again.
This is speculation on my end, but I'm assuming it has to do with TV and Movies being more expensive to produce and therefore more expensive to license?
Speculation here too, maybe it has something to do with very little willingness to put up with missing songs from users, while it's somewhat acceptable to go to another site to watch a new show?
I haven't wrapped my head around how this could influence the creators and services enough to work together, though.
Valve is right. I haven't pirated a single game since I started using Steam, and I have spent dollars on games I will never ever have time to play. There is no way I will subscribe to 10 different movie streaming services. I want it all in one client. If they want to charge me 50 dollars for the latest movies, so be it. I just want the convenience of one single source available 24x7 wherever I am. Until then, /r/usenet.
Apple TV, I know this is where you are going. Netflix, I know you tried and failed.
> I want it all in one client. [...] I just want the convenience of one single source available
You nailed it. Sadly, it's also falling apart for games. I like Steam because I'm lazy - no other reason. 3rd party launchers were tolerable, but so obviously anti-consumer and wholly unnecessary. Just big publishers trying to screw us, and I'm not exactly sure why - greed or analytics?
Then Epic comes along with the exclusives. Again, not trying to make the argument Steam/Epic = Bad/Good or Good/Bad. Just that I'm lazy. I'm not a teenagers with endless time, and I can't be bothered dealing with this.
Now, it's possible I'm not the target market any more. But making it easy for lazy but financially stable adults to actually buy games seems like a decent strategy.
Most everything is available on the streaming services now people are just going back to piracy again because they don't want to pay the aggregate cost of all the streaming services combined. Again it all just comes down to folks wanting unlimited everything from everywhere for $12.99/month.
there's a cliff though. I pay for prime and Netflix, and once or twice a month I'll rent a movie from Google Play if it's something I really want to see.
however, in my mind paying any more than that approximate monthly total is unreasonable, and not an option.
And to the article's credit, I think about booting my Plex setup back up pretty frequently now.
There absolutely is a cliff. Every general rule of thumb has a limit.
However, what you're describing is not the financial limit. We once paid quite a bit more for cable tv than streaming services. Paying for the big streaming services combined comes to about the same or less than previous cable subscriptions. In this case it's not about cost but convenience.
These companies need to provide an api that allows for services like plex (or similar) to pipe all of the streaming services into one platform, with one auto buy if you watch and stop paying if you haven't watched anything from that network within x months.
This article's title/premise is being very generous to the media companies. It's not "too many choices" driving people to piracy, it's the bloody parasites balkanizing everything and forcing you to pay more subscriptions to more services just to watch a handful of shows.
People are happy to pay for Netflix and/or Amazon Prime, with a model of "you pay a streaming service provider and get shows from many media companies." But the new model is "media companies all want their own subscription service."
Another factor in the mix is how poor a job a lot of the streaming services do at the mechanics of running their business.
I, for instance, pay for streaming packages from both the NFL and Formula 1, but more often than not the best way to watch the actual events is to download a torrent that some random guy recorded, edited, and posted. The video quality is just plain better. It's not missing the pre-event buildup coverage. And it doesn't randomly cut out and drop down to 160p all the time.
Now I say I pay for these services, but actually as of a couple months ago I can't even convince Formula 1 to take my money anymore. I live in France and first signed up using a US credit card. Now they won't let me put my card back in to renew, because it's not to a French address. And they won't let me buy the US or UK version of the service (as I have cards and mailing addresses in both), because my history shows I previously bought the French one.
But then really, it's not that much of a pain, since even for the couple years I paid for it I don't think I actually streamed more than a couple races. The product itself was just that awful, but still it'd be nice to be able to give them some money...
Not that surprising since the "currency" is basically pride and appreciation for your work (insofar as you can really apply that kind of thinking to these social situations)
No surprise. Even we (HN) predicted this the moment the first content company withdrew their content from Netflix.
Two reasons:
1. People only have so much money.
2. When people compare it to what they used to payit seems unfair. People complain when gas prices increases by a few percent, no wonder they complain when they suddenly have to pay twice or even three times for the same content they used to pay one low monthly fee from.
Oh, and they probably also compare to Spotify.
I see three ways this market can work that immediately feels fair to me:
- all you can eat/listen/watch (Spotify model)
- pay per view but a lot lower than today. (Can work even with multiple streaming sites.)
- a hybrid approach where you pay for a number of monthly credits that works (should be somewhat cheaper than the Spotify model)
Pay per view has the drawback of requiring too many decisions, leading to decision fatigue.
Subscribing to a service for $20/mo is a one time decision, whereas figuring out if the show you're about to watch is worth $0.30 gets tiring really quickly.
Monthly credits works a bit better, but the all you can eat model completely avoids this.
That is a good point, I have a harder time deciding if I want to spend $3-4 to rent a movie on Amazon than just pulling up Netflix and browsing around! Plus I don't feel like I wasted money if I don't enjoy a movie and stop watching (The Ballad of Buster Scruggs sorry!).
On the other hand I don't mind buying music, since I basically know the entire song ahead of time, and I don't think I ever buy more than $10 worth of music a month.
> That is a good point, I have a harder time deciding if I want to spend $3-4 to rent a movie on Amazon than just pulling up Netflix and browsing around!
I'm the opposite. It's easier to spend money on something I'll probably like vs. spending time on something that's likely mediocre. What normally happens is I browse around Netflix watching previews for an hour, get bored, and go do something else.
i solved this problem by setting a clear goal in what i am interested in. anything that doesn't fit my interest gets discarded easily. i will occasionally watch stuff that doesn't fit my definition, but i never need to search for something because i can always pick from my list. and if the list is empty i will spend an hour deliberately looking for things to add to that list.
>Subscribing to a service for $20/mo is a one time decision, whereas figuring out if the show you're about to watch is worth $0.30 gets tiring really quickly.
"figuring out if the show you're about to watch is worth $0.30 gets tiring really quickly." This is the biggest problem in the industry that no one wants to talk about. Valuing content aka how much is x show worth. The monthly premiums actually kill or put as strong fixed upper bound on what the content is actually worth.
It also brings up another argument on whether or not valuing content ( how much is x show worth) is even worth talking about and talking about how you got your show on x platform because that means 100x more people will see your stuff vs if you are not on x platform.
I remember the days (circa 2009/2010) where the main complaint about streaming Netflix was that there was nothing on it compared to the disk collection. When exactly did that change?
There must have been a brief “monopoly period” when Netflix had all of the content, but I don’t remember it.
Maybe there wasn't. Maybe they just had enough stuff. I started using it when they added Star Trek: TNG, later on they added quite a lot of things I was interested in too. At their peak, they had about every other thing I wanted to watch (or rewatch).
Then, the shows and movies started disappearing. This is what annoyed me most - I wanted to rewatch something I've seen few months earlier, or to show it to my SO, and suddenly it isn't there. This became a regular occurence, and I think this is where people started noticing something is wrong.
> There must have been a brief “monopoly period” when Netflix had all of the content, but I don’t remember it.
I think it's important to segment the content into movies and TV shows. At one point Netflix did have a lot of popular TV shows, and new seasons seem to show up pretty quickly. Netflix never really had a huge selection of popular movies. Some here and there, but never a deep catalog.
> “Consumers want choice — but only up to a point,” said Kevin Westcott, Deloitte vice chairman and U.S. telecom and media and entertainment leader, who oversees the study. “We may be entering a time of ‘subscription fatigue.'”
Missing the point hard here. To the degree that "consumers want choice", I would expect the choice they want is the choice of media, not the choice of subscription services. People don't subscribe to Netflix for its own sake, they subscribe because it lets them watch something they want to see.
I don't want to keep track of what's on what platform, or pay $12-15/month for 5 different services. I would much rather pay ~$50/month for one service that had everything I wanted to watch on it, alongside some kind of good mechanism for content discovery (both recommendations, and search).
Germans/Europeans might feel with me: I had the pleasure of using Sky to watch Game of Thrones and a few movies and it was the most abysmal experience I have ever had.
Your account is an email combined with a 4-digit NUMERIC-ONLY (!) "password" and once you are hyper-securely logged in the amount of usability pain a single piece of software can cause will immediately become apparent.
How can anything paid by a big corporation be anywhere near as bad as the Sky apps is completely beyond me.
Their iOS app is somewhat usable and I was happy I could just cast GoT using my Google Chrome until I noticed that casting can only be done in German. The English original version wasn't available for casting but perfectly accessible on PS4 app, Mac app and web app.
Thanks for the reminder to cancel the Sky Ticket subscription. I feel you. The most frustrating thing are their SmartTV and AppleTV apps. If you watched an episode or a movie you can't start it again because it will start, jump to the end and will either recommend to start the next episode (in the case of a show) or do nothing (in case of a movie).
You have to "reset" the content in you iOS app and can then watch it on your other devices. Sky is cancer.
Sky used to have a web client. Now you have to use their apps, even on the desktop, which come with a suite of monitoring services (Cisco Videoguard) to prevent people from streaming their content. On my Mac Mini the video player takes up easily 80-100% of the 6-core/12-threads i7.
It's almost unwatchable. Unfortuantely it's a requirement if you're into german soccer.
Love it. Great content, good streaming quality, fair price. Unfortuantely they lost the Premier League rights to Sky this season which is fine whenever I turn on my projector for the big picture - after all Sky's satellite video quality obviously is superior to a stream, but casual watching at the desk is rendered almost unbearable due to Sky's abysmal apps and streaming technology. In that regard DAZN is far superior.
Anyway, when it comes to content spanish La Liga as well as other top european soccer leagues make up for the loss of the Premier League. However as someone who enjoys watching soccer I still need both, DAZN and Sky, since there's hardly any overlap in their content and rights.
I watch movies once a week with a few friends. We have Netflix, Prime and 3 other smaller providers I can't recall the name of. We still have to look for 50% of the movies we want to watch "somewhere else".
It's even worse because most providers geo lock their content. So the movie might be available on Netflix US but isn't on Netflix Spain, or it's available on prime but only in _foreign language_. When the movie is available the service is slow, you get intermittent disconnections, the subtitles aren't available, &c. It's a running joke for us now, we have an hassle free movie night once every three month I'd say.
It's basically cable TV 2.0, it's such a pain in the ass.
Perfect example. I have Netflix, Prime and Hulu. Thats already too many as most have a bunch of crap and a few shows I like, some have duplicate content.
I watched One Punch man on Netflix and can also watch on Hulu. Season Two was released on Hulu. Well that works for me but what about people who had Netflix, Like OPM and now want to watch season 2?
I've been binging Star Trek. I'd also like to watch the new series on CBS. Of course CBS had the bright odea of starting their own streaming service. The cost is $5.99/mo with commercials or 9.99/mo without commercials. No.
So all the idiots taking their toys home and starting their own streaming biz are driving piracy. I used to download TV shows all the time but streaming made that unnecessary as I could pay a little money to have legal access to plenty of things I want to watch. No one wants to juggle multiple streaming services just to watch a few shows. People don't want to go back to spending $200 on TV and internet. I'd rather spend no more than $25/mo on tv and $50 for >=100mbit internet. Thats an ideal number considering I spend less on electricity each month.
The problem is not to many streaming choices but the increasing fragmentation of which videos are available on which platforms.
IMHO the increasing coupling of video producers and streaming services isn't a good idea at all as it again produces (quasi)monopoles for certain brands/shows (e.g. Disney).
Through then IMHO the trend of tech companies increasingly expanding in a way which couples different kind products together is a worrisome trend (e.g. hardware producer couples with os producer coupled with application producer, or content producer coupled with content delivery services, or "shared" online marked places coupled with them starting to sell their own "featured" products, or coupling of ebook store with ebook reader, etc.).
My guess is that this will lead to increasingly large companies with increasingly less chances for real competition giving this companies more and more (mainly implicit) power over people and economy and with this also influence in politic.
Sure currently for streaming services it looks like it will lead to better competition, but my guess is that this won't be long term and in a view years we will be left with a oligopol of a small number of companies now dominating both production and distribution of high quality video entertainment content, without there being any real chance for any new competition (except if there is some form of interactive video revolution (I don't mean video games) coming from outside the video industry.
There's something to be said for the cord-cutting software ecosystem supporting more-than-casual piracy experiencing huge improvements. If you have the hardware, you can host your own media using Plex as a server, and Sonarr to manage your library and automate acquisition of new TV episodes.
Plex is one of the best pieces of software I've ever used. It Just Works™. You need a decent internet pipeline to support remote streaming, but LAN is a breeze to setup. It's so feature-rich I don't know where to begin. I honestly prefer it to any other streaming service. Apps on just about every platform you can think of (they had yet to release apps for Nintendo consoles last I checked).
I have my whole family set up on my server, and it doesn't cost them a dime. The primary drawbacks from their perspective are that they need to request shows and movies to be added, and I naturally don't have Netflix-level availability, but hey. Shit's free.
So when a cord-cutter with enough savvy to pirate video can actually replicate the services rendered by Netflix et al. on their own, why would they pay five times for something centralized that they can get for free[1]?
[1] Plex has $7 month premium features, with the option for a lifetime pass equal to about 2.5 years of subscription.
People don't use Netflix et al. because they want to follow the law. They use them because they're a better service and experience than the alternatives (PVR TV and DVDs).
When streaming services no longer offer a superior user experience, there's not much reason to use them. Maybe we'll see a new round of "You wouldn't download a car" ads.
I would happily pay for a service that let me download content to my personal machine, without DRM, and without restrictions. The price paid for that right now is breaking the law, and current enforcement of that law hardly a price to pay.
Piracy is copyright infringement or license term violations.
Theft is a property crime. These are different things.
Those heavily invested in intellectual property rights laws would like to conflate them, but they are--and always will be--fundamentally different offenses.
And the industry propaganda is frankly ridiculous. Hell yes, I would download a car. But not if it came loaded up with malware, spyware, region-locking, force-fed content, and DRM schemes.
The propaganda likewise portrays piracy as stealing from the creators and artists, when, in fact, this has already occurred by reassigning the copyrights to a corporate entity that routinely employs "Hollywood accounting" and other assorted dirty accounting tricks to avoid paying the creative drivers behind a cultural artifact in a manner the public would consider reasonable.
Duplicating bits is in no way comparable to depriving someone of physical property and excluding them from their use of it. At worst, piracy undermines someone's economic profits, derived from the enjoyment of government-granted monopoly, which is supposed to promote the useful arts by securing to authors and inventors exclusive rights for a limited time.
It is natural for opinions to vary on whether a schema that routinely re-assigns those rights to an entity separate from the author or inventor, for a period extending well beyond their lifespan, is still conformant with the intent of the law, but no matter how hard you try to force it, copying is not stealing. Forcing that for PR purposes further undermines what little respect remains for copyright infringement as its own offense. You can't inflate respect for one law by poaching it from another.
You may attempt to influence behavior and ethics by redefining the meanings of words, or by confusing one meaning of a word with another, but I can't guarantee it will be successful.
If I were to "pirate" an entertainment file, I would not alter my self-image to believe that I am now "a thief", just because you're quoting dictionary definitions at me. I may still feel vaguely guilty about it, but nowhere near the level of guilt I might feel by walking over to my neighbor's driveway and stealing their car, even though the open-market value of the car may be only $5k, and the open-market value of the recording may be $5M.
This difference arises because when I copy something, I do not deprive the person in possession of the use of it. If I steal, I do. The concept of dispossession is fundamental to the concept of theft. When I take your thing, you no longer have it. When I copy your thing, we both have it. If you are then put out because I am no longer motivated to rent your thing, that's the result of your improper assumption that the idea of the thing belonged to you exclusively.
When "theft" moves from the physical to the intangible, it becomes plagiarism or counterfeiting. It is a greater sin to cut out the credit scroll from the end of a movie than to copy it without paying. It is a greater sin to copy the maker's mark than to copy the design it marks.
I am not the sort to lie to myself to influence my own state of mind. Things are what they are, and if that state cannot be conveyed effectively with words, then the language is at fault. The words must change, rather than my mental model of reality. If you cannot separate in your mind the definition of "piracy" that concerns intangible property from the definition of "stealing" that concerns tangible objects, I would suggest using instead a term that is more descriptive, and not quite so ambiguous, such as "copyright infringement". If one cannot be a "pirate" without being a thief, then copyright infringers will simply cease to be "pirates".
You can't change reality by altering the description of reality. If you perfectly duplicate a copyright-protected file in a manner not allowed by fair use or by an implicit or explicit license granted by the privileged holder of the copyright, the holder is neither dispossessed of their file, nor deprived of any reputation benefit which may be associated with their control of the copyright. Copyright infringement is therefore not theft. If we cannot agree on what words mean, we cannot meaningfully communicate. And if someone is changing the meanings of their words mid-conversation, that might be perceived as dishonest communication.
That the funny thing I have HBO, Hulu, Netflix, Amazon Prime but sometimes it's easier to watch something on a pirate site than searching for which service has what.
My cable provider had an crazy discount on their HBO+OnDemand offering, so I bought it and I had complete access to nearly every HBO show and more for 2 years. I ended up torrenting either entire seasons or torrenting last night's episode because:
- The interface was painful to use. If I watched 2 eps of a show one night, and returned the next night, the box didn't remember where I was, so I would have to search up the show using the remote without a keyboard, scroll through an extremely slow UI of giant show posters that looked exactly the same and didn't show the episode number until I selected it. And that list would lead to another list, and every time I selected something, it took approximately 5-10 seconds to load the next page.
- It was "HD" meaning it was outputting 1080p to my TV, but there was a ton of color banding, dark scenes had really obvious compression squares, etc.
- Newly aired shows would usually not appear until the next day, and sometimes they would appear, then disappear for a few hours, then reappear. The stated goal was to have the shows available right away, but something about the infra prevented them from reliably doing it.
- Once in a while I would be going through an old season, and some random episode, like the second episode of the season, would simply disappear from the list for a day or two.
- Maybe this is a Canada-only/CTV problem, but there were several CTV shows I tried to watch that had rewind/fastforward COMPLETELY DISABLED, presumably to prevent commercial skipping (because they had commercials in their OnDemand shows). If you watched a show halfway, and decided to come back and watch from that point, CTV said "f* you, watch the whole thing again."
In cable company's defense, the interface to all this was very pretty. They were iteratively updating it too and very slowly making the OnDemand menus just a little more easy to use, so it wasn't some old garbage that never changed.
But the sheer number of actions I had to take to watch a single episode made me join a private TV tracker, where I reliably got extremely high quality video immediately after airings, and entire seasons neatly packaged in folders.
They didn't say anything about having Roku, and from my experience the "search all platforms" tools on streaming devices like Roku and Apple TV leave much to be desired
I am from Brazil and here I am seeing the rise of "IPTV", with many service claiming they have deals with all streaming providers and movie companies, and you can pay them to watch just-released movies or any show on any provider...
I am strongly suspecting they saw the proliferation of streaming services (and here also "cable" services) as a opportunity, but are creating their services illegally, for example I know a person that got "IPTV" and I couldn't find anything about the company, and their PC "client" is actually just a modified VLC (that also for some reason only works on Windows).
Why don't major services (Netflix, Disney, HULU, etc) come together to build a best of breed shared service, that operates vendor-neutrally, and each gets to keep all the profits from people watching their stuff?
Each could still have its own promotions, bundles, etc (e.g. pay X more to watch new movies from Disney), but at least the base proposition can have a single subscription price and some pay as you consume more scheme, single analytics, etc.
In my ideal autocratic regime, they'd be forced to work under such a scheme, like power companies are forced to ultimately connect to the same grid (at least in some countries).
Why is it confusing? Having content fractured across 10 different services each at $10.99/mo is a pain in the bum. Just finding a movie under this setup is hard. I either have to bounce around from service to service, or start googling on my phone to see where it is actually streaming -- and probably find out its exclusively on some _other_ streaming platform.
It's only a matter of time before some clever MBA comes up with Cable2.0, which bundles up all the streaming services under one roof (or series of roofs (cable packages!)) for 60% of the what it would cost to maintain subscriptions to all of them.
Finding movies is easy. I just googled "Avengers Endgame" and it told me it's available instantly for $5 from Google Play, Youtube, Vudu, and Amazon. I googled "The Graduate" and it told me it's available for $4 on various platforms and free on Netflix with a subscription. I google "Seinfeld" and it told me it's availabe on Hulu and TBS with a subscription.
I would much rather pick and choose which entertainment I actually want to pay for than pay a large monthly fee for everything. It saves me money.
"everyone" in this instance being "parties that stand to profit from this business model." I don't think consumers want this at all, and I'd even go so far as to argue the only reason cable still exists as a service is that no company has found a cheap way to stream live sports.
Reading this thread, and other similar ones on different platforms, it seems like people definitely do want to pay one monthly fee to a single company that provides all of their entertainment needs. That's just on-demand cable.
Ironically, some of the cable companies have figured out how to stream live sports for cheap. I pay my cable company $25 a month for live streaming of ABC, Fox, NBC, CBS, ESPN, ESPN2, NFL Network, Fox Sports, NBC Sports, TBS, Food Network, National Geographic, and CNN.
They could create a new company to keep track of who is watching what so each content creator gets paid accordingly. And it would be one company to pay for the per view option you describe. I could see this growing to 100s of different content providers and available to nearly every home!
It's interesting that we've come full circle. This seems like an opportunity for the tv streaming services to add streaming content from different providers and eventually we end up with a 150/mo for streaming TV with premium channels like HBO, NETFLIX, DISNEY, ESPN, etc.
I'm guessing they don't do this voluntarily because they've seen how the music industry had its revenues eroded by Spotify/iTunes (where mostly the user can pick one and get pretty much everything). They're probably ignoring the fact that music piracy is presumably lower than ever because of this.
Additionally there must be 'big fish' within their market. People who spend $1,000s on consuming viewing entertainment and would go whatever the 'preferred/legal' way to do it was.
Because no one forced them to :). I think they'll get around to working on that later on, but first they'll ruin the whole streaming space in an attempt to capture all the value they can from their IP directly.
Is this the final state of attempting to maximize profits? It feels like it's converging back towards the cable model [0]. Especially now with ad-supported streaming plans on Hulu [1] and increasingly more and more service exclusives [2] (same site as OP).
Streaming services are slowly but surely becoming cable "Channels"/"Packages" now, and of course that's going to increase piracy - we've seen it happen before. If you make something people want, but make it overly expensive or inconvenient to consume, piracy is an attractive (albeit morally grey) alternative for many.
Sure you can buy the disk set for whatever shows you like and skip out on the streaming services, but that in itself comes with a level of inconvenience (and cost) - why use physical disks when you can just download the content, share on a NAS/Plex server, and have it on any device? Once you've made it more inconvenient than people are used to, you've again made piracy an option.
I wonder when we'll start seeing bundles of streaming services for a single price!
Considering the average streaming service cost is a $12-15 subscription, once you start subscribing to 2-4+ of those, the cost becomes comparable to basic cable. Welcome to a la carte cable.
More precisely, I would say it's the balkanization of streaming services that's the real problem. If I could sign up for one service that offered everything I wanted to watch, on demand, for $50, I'd consider that. Now, Disney stuff is on the Disney service, some shows are on Netflix, others on Hulu, and a few on Amazon. On top of that, you have to consider that all the major TV streaming services also produce their own content, which is exclusive to their services and not licensed elsewhere. Even keeping track of what's on what service is a chore.
My personal compromise has been to use Prime Video and Netflix, because I already subscribe to Amazon Prime, anyway, and Netflix is a good incremental add. But, I don't want 5 subscription services and to have to keep track of what's on what service. It's bad enough with 2.
Streaming "choices"? It's fragmentation and rent-seeking behavior. It is simply a case of the supply not meeting the demand at a reasonable price point, when there is an alternative.
If someone finds themselves chasing whatever streaming service has The Office, maybe it's worth dropping the $300 or whatever for everything on iTunes.
And once again, you aren’t a potential customer. Do you really think that streaming companies are going to live an die by the people who want to use VLC?
What people wanted was for each channel to have its own subscription price, but all of them on the shelves of the same big-box store. With fewer ads, preferably.
The choice people have now is to pay $200/month at the big box store for a pre-loaded shopping cart of channels, with maximum ads, or to pay $10/month, a dozen different times, to go all over town picking up one channel at a time from little niche stores that only sell that channel, some that come with ads, and some that don't.
Multiple streaming marketplaces that all have the capability to connect all the same vendors to the marketplace customers would satisfy the consumer demand. But right now, everybody is taking their content back to put in their factory-direct exclusive content stores.
In the physical goods world, someone could buy at the factory store, ship at their own expense to the common marketplace, and resell at their own risk with a markup. Consumers would pay the markup as the cost of convenience. But in the digital world, you can't necessarily resell anything, even if you bought the right to use it yourself.
So we have still never received what we have repeatedly asked for. Netflix-by-shipped-disks approached it, because it could buy the disks at retail, and mail them around at its own expense, without getting any further permission. Netflix-by-download cannot, because the streaming rights are revocable, time-limited, and subject to constant haggling and renegotiation by the sellers every time the contracts expire.
Fragmentation is not ordering from the a la carte menu; it's getting fries from McDonald's, a shake from Wendys, sandwich bread from Panera, meat from Arbys, lettuce from Taco Bell, tomato from Subway, and spending three hours in the car just to get your lunch. A la carte means you can order your whole lunch at one place, getting just what you want, and not getting something that you don't want means you pay less overall for your meal.
I'm not sure if you're trying to be sarcastic, but yes, rent seeking is different from selling a product. In this case, the copyright holders would rather you pay for _temporary access_ to their libraries, rather than actual ownership -- a tradeoff that is (somewhat sadly) acceptable to many when it's a single, cheap subscription, no fuzz, and critically, no ads.
The definition of rent seeking is creating nothing of value. They are producing original content. You can pay more to buy the DVD or Blu-ray if you want to own the content outright.
"Choice" here is just a euphemism for "yet another $10.99/month subscription". The more services, the less content I want each has. The more services/apps/etc I have to engage with, the less I want to engage with any of them. That is to say, it's not just as expensive as corded packages, it's harder to actually use. It's the opposite of what it should be.
Content needs F/RAND licensing, possibly with a temporary block on creators self-distributing to try and right the market and get some competition going.
If you think it's getting bad, just wait until Disney starts flexing.
They will savage or at least sue everyone alive until no other service will remain in the internet of the Western world, all these while hired actresses making cute faces will be throwing pink glitter at everyone involved.
I will always pirate shows. I cut the cord 11 years ago due to my objection of cable company billing practices. The entire industry is greedy. I was a netflix subscriber for awhile but I burned thru all the good stuff and left.
Yeah, no, I don't buy this facile argument. Closest I can come up with is either an all-you-can-eat buffet you have a membership to, or Costco, and turning up one day and there's no pasta or burgers. And they say "sorry, Olive Garden/McDonalds bought the rights to that food and we can no longer serve it". It's absurd.
Rights-holders absolutely deserve to get paid. But weaponizing that? Sorry, they lost me.
I don't think OP is making the argument piracy = free = good. Just that if everything else is worse or broken, people will prefer piracy (and argument put forward in many other comments on this post)
I don’t even know if I’m “pirating” or not. There’s pretty much nothing on Netflix anymore, and I can’t even figure out how to sign up for HBO streaming (I think I have to get a code from cable provider first?) if I even cared enough to do so. I have found a few ad-supported/free streaming sites like Tubi and Popcornflix, plus some public domain streaming sites like publicdomainflix and archive.org. Are they legitimate? I don’t know - I have no way of even finding out.
I was never patient enough for piracy as it takes diligence to find reliable sources. One thing that does irritate me is this general antipiracy attitude on the web today. It's like the entire population works for Big Tech. It used to be if you did enough searching, you could find pretty much anything you wanted, but now everyone acts like the piracy police and gets all offended if you even insinuate piracy. Probably sounds rather antisocial, but I think that attitude is dangerous as it gives corporations way too much influence, beyond what we've yielded them already. Maybe it's just the places I frequent.
For me, I've realized that 80% of media is not worth my time. Unless it's something that is 'can't miss' like Martin Scorsese's movie that is debuting on Netflix or Planet Earth II, I can skip it. I use my family's Netflix account, I don't have my own.
I've tried to keep up with the Marvel universe but it's next to impossible at this point. All my favorite shows (Mad Men, Breaking Bad, Sopranos, Game of Thrones) are completed now too. I go to the movies once or twice a year now, at most.
Hasn't driven me to piracy. It has, however, driven me to subscribe/unsubscribe as needed. Paid for a month of HBO, for example, mostly for the Chernobyl series, watched that and a few movies, unsubscribed.
I think that pattern might hurt these services more than piracy.
There's also the option of refusing the new services. When I think on what I'll do as content keeps fragmenting across services, I keep coming back to one answer...watch less video content. The time before easy streaming wasn't that long ago, and if the content makers and distributors aren't going to play ball, then I can entertain myself in plenty of other ways.
The bigger losers are going to be parents that have a harder time convincing theirs kids that they don't need, e.g., Disney+.
Also recently for whatever reason they started to drop my login session on a pretty regular basis (~twice a week for the last month).
After a long day sometimes you just want to flip Netflix on and watch that movie you added to your list a few nights ago.
But getting greeted with the login screen on your non-smart TV (I use a smart DVD player) is sometimes enough to avoid Netflix completely because it's so annoying having to type a 20+ character email address and a 20+ character password on a TV remote.
… if you remember to unsubscribe. I wonder how many of these monthly streaming services rely on the gym model where they hope that it’s more trouble to unsubscribe than it is to just pay for the service month after month.
The only ethical pay-per-view system I can think of would be to stream directly from the production source (production house, artist), some sort of a paid RSS-like feed.
Alternatively, pay a fixed monthly fee which gets distributed among production sources depending on what you watched. Cut out the middleman of Netflix, Amazon etc.
Could work with the rest of the internet too. Instead of relying on advertisements for revenue, you would pay a monthly fee which would get distributed among the websites you used. Aaaand we reinvented the Brave browser model...
For animes:
1. Crunchyroll
2. Animelab
3. Funimation
For movies:
1. Netflix
2. YouTube movies
5 streaming sites and even than not all movies and animes are available to me because of geoblocking. Then when I go back to my home country only Netflix works, and for some weird reason in my country only the first 3 season of Race to the Edge is available, even though it claimed to be Netflix Originals. No wonder piracy is everywhere
The last remaining video rental stores are closing down just as streaming services become so fragmented that making a short trip to rent any major film or TV series you want for a few dollars is starting to look okay again.
According to wiki, as of 2017 there were about 40k Redbox locations in the US. They recently put one in the exit of my grocery store, and it gets a lot of use. I think it's a pretty good business model, since so many people only want to see relatively new big name movies.
You’ve never been able to get many of the most popular movies from a streaming service without paying for them individually. Netflix’s streaming catalog of popular movies has never been that great.
10'ish years ago I remember people being mad at the cable companies for bundling all the channels together into all-or-nothing options. Why did I have to pay for ESPN when I just want the SciFi channel? Here we are today with lots of options where you only pay for what you want and now people want them all bundled back together again!
People are still complaining about the same thing. Instead of "why do I have to pay for ESPN when I just want the SciFi channel?", it's now "why do I have to pay for the whole catalogue of yet another streaming service, and deal with its idiosyncraticly broken UI, when I just want to watch that one show that one time?".
People still want the same thing: to have all they want to watch available in a single place, through a single interface, and for a flat price. Without ads, market segmentation, or other exploitative trickery.
That's why I don't really believe people who claim that having to pick a streaming service is a burden too great to bear and can only be resolved through piracy. I don't think the issue is too little choice, too much choice, too much cost, or two much mental overhead—I think they just want to pirate and find a reason to use for the moment.
Because you think exposing yourself to higher risk of malware, financial punishment and possibly jail time is something thrilling that people like to do for fun?
Truth is, because of greed of the IP holders, the existing legal avenues of getting media are garbage and, on top of that, subscribing to several services costs more money than reasonable - all that starts to outweigh the aforementioned risk. And the risk is going down now that pirates run streaming sites too, which shield viewers from liability.
See also Steam, and how game piracy dwindled down thanks to cutting out the bullshit. And wrt. mental overhead, just look at how unhappy gamers are now that more companies are trying to compete with Steam by launching exclusives, making it necessary to install additional game launchers (which are almost universally garbage).
Why is that hard to believe? If you only have a few shows that you want to watch, and each is on a different streaming service, is it unreasonable to balk at having to pay for several different services (each at over $10 a month) just for a few shows?
Technology has advanced, but the product has changed little. I don't want to pay a monthly subscription and pay for all of the content on 300 channels, 280+ I will never ever watch. Despite paying $200 a month, I still don't even have the option to watch Spaceballs (substitute any particular movie here) on demand any time I want even if I am willing to pay for that privilege.
We have the technology to make the content of those 300+ channels available to me in a piecemeal a la carte fashion, but cable companies say if I want to watch ESPN I have to pay for 100 other channels. If I only want to watch Game of Thrones, I have to pay a bit under $20 a month to get a whole bunch of other stuff from HBO I will never watch.
I want to pay for only what I watch, but the cable and streaming services want me to pay for whats available to me. That is the big disconnect IMHO. There is no technical reason we can't have one service (like netflix) that has the world's digital content on it, and I can search and pick what I want to watch on it and pay for it and have the content owners get a cut of it. Netflix was kinda close for awhile, but then due to their licensing deals started pushing and pulling titles at random, and then different studios are now trying to put up Chinese walls to ensure that they have exclusive rights to content. I feel everyone loses here, and I myself can't imagine ever paying for a separate service just to watch star wars or Disney movies. There seems to be a real network effect here of just making everything available.
It seems perfectly rational to me. Streaming platforms' competitive advantage vs piracy is convenience (being legal and easier to use). As their convenience declines, users who are not averse to piracy will naturally gravitate back towards it.
This is precisely why I recently decided to setup a home streaming box/NAS.
Currently, I have an RPi 4 running Sonarr/Radarr, NZBGet, Transmission, and Emby, with a reverse proxy on top so I can access it all remotely[1]. But an RPi is not enough when it comes to transcoding and larger storage, so I'll be upgrading to a custom-built microATX server. The estimated total cost for parts is ~$600, including 6TB of storage. Monthly recurring cost is about $7, not counting energy consumption.
I'm also starting to use Kodi + RD to make it easier to stream stuff without downloading it.
I didn't know [we] PC and VPS users went anywhere, if anything the already established and really skilled release groups were solidified while others were extricated, or in some cases and very unfortunate, immured. I would make a partially substantiated and educated guess that a driving force in any potential, acute, theoretical or otherwise increase in freedom of information; The renaissance of the information era, our time, is suddenly presented with a market filled with VPN providers, most of them blatantly crude in their pitch. With promises of hosting end-points in nations unburdened by draconian laws, well outside any jurisdiction legally obligated to abide by federational - european, american or otherwise - demands or requests of private information. They also always make it a big deal to point out that they don't even generate logs of user activities. The latter sounding unlikely since it's crucial for any service providers survival and growth as well as preserving the capability to offer an equally distributed quality of service.
Piracy is not a fitting name. There's no rape, murder, malintent or even direct physical, psykological or directly provable damages made by sharing information. The argument that one album downloaded automatically equals the loss of one sell. That is similar to comparing bank-robbers to successful hedge fund managers because they aspire to collect currency or assets in large numbers. Wait.. That actually is comparable.. Well, I digress.
I already started buying used DVD's & Blu-Rays for use on Plex. Too much fragmentation and the risk of having your favourite shows and movies pulled for some other service.
I was discussing with a friend that in some bizarre alternative universe where things had played out differently, cable would seem like the great alternative to all the streaming services we have now. You only have to pay one monthly fee, and you have thousands of choices available to you! Sure, it's not on demand, but with so many options, and many things on a regular schedule, finding things to watch is easier than ever.
The cable suffered because of two things: aggressive market segmentation with channel packs, and ads. Without these two, cable TV would be like Twitter for TV - a streaming service with a weird but perhaps adorable limitation that the streaming schedule is set for you.
Just fix your FOMO and you don't have to pay for all crap you will never use.
I did not watched any episode of GoT and I don't feel like I missed something in my life. Occasionally I don't get some reference. I also don't run into people who are "omg you really did not watched any of it? so great series", even if I would run into this kind, I could not care less about it anyway.
There's something to this. Of course it's a convenience to have better pickings for shows we want to watch, but seeing it all means spending an inordinate amount of time watching tv. Most of it is dull filler. People think too much of it.
A lot of people seemed to enjoy GoT in the earlier years, and the barriers to watching it are ridiculous. It's cheaper to shell out $100+ for the dvd set even for a single watch. There's a reason it's the most pirated show of all time.
I think the article doesn't tackle it from the correct perspective.
There aren't _many_ choices at all, because we don't hire the service for the service itself, instead, for the content, and content here is exclusive.
For instance, you have competition on the PC market: you can buy Dell, you can buy Lenovo, and while the outside may differ, inside, you have the same thing. You also have choices of Burger joints, because although we may prefer one to the other, whenever we want a burger, we can choose from anyplace.
This kind of content, TV shows and movies, however, is different. There's more uniqueness to each piece than a burger or a PC have. You can't interchange Game Of Thrones with Vikings and be really satisfied, worse, you'll probably want both.
So, right now, what we have is little choice - recent shows and movies are on a single platform, and just a few are on two or three different ones. So to have all content you want, you might need to subscribe to many different platforms.
On the one hand, I believe it's definitively a good thing that these services will be allowing for creation of niche content. I have long believed that your broadcast networks / USA / TNT just straight up cannot make good content because their expectations viewers wise are so high they end up trying to please everyone and make really, really generic television.
So yeah. I like that. But what's the endgame? Is this high profile Battlestar reboot supposed to generate enough subscriptions to cover the cost or is it just getting people involved in the NBC / Peacock ecosystem? Like, this is the same company that routinely cancels (nearly) every good show on SyFy (where, you know, I would kind of expect a Battlestar reboot to actually be) because they aren't getting enough viewers.
Now that it's a streaming service and their collecting the money directly from the viewer rather than going through Comcast does it make that much of a difference?
I'd say many never stopped.. to feel legit they maybe bought netflix and hulu, but still pirated HBO or network tv. I can see people maybe getting Netflix and Disney+ and maybe Apple ...and then streaming from tv show sites anything they're missing....
They need to have a bundled app like $60 gets you Amazon, Netflix, Disney, Apple, HBO, and Sling/Philo ...
Make it so each provider can sell the bundle and they get 30% more of the total sale...
If I had money and connections I'd love to start this startup... If you only took 6% to make it lucrative for the companies involved, then split it x ways with the bundled providers
Better yet philo or sling should do this since they already have the live tv parts, it would be a natural replacement for Cable. Or they could all just join forces and create a unified platform.
I hope it does, and I hope it signals that they're going too far with their segmentation of subscription services.
I subscribe to HBO. A subscription service that I have to pay for. Now they're going to introduce another subscription service called HBO Max which is going to cost more and may overlap with, but may not entirely include, content from HBO Go/NOW. Does this mean I have to buy into another subscription from the same company to access their 'new'/'original' content?
Honestly, I'm maintaining the services I currently have but not adding anything new. I have subscription fatigue. A cable subscription, HBO, Showtime, Netflix, and Prime are enough to fulfill my moral quota. Plex/Radarr/Sonarr will manage the rest of my television entertainment needs.
I'm personally fine with paying for them all, just hate that they are all separate apps with wildly difference experiences. I LOVE how I can get HBO as an add-on for Hulu, and have it all in one place to manage my "watch-list", ratings, tastes, etc. It's super frustrating you won't be able to get Disney+ as an add-on (for ad-free Hulu), as well. In the future, if there is just a universal app where I could get Netflix, Hulu, HBO, Disney+, and Amazon Prime, that would be the most superior experience. Obviously I doubt such an app would ever exist, but what they don't get is that it's more about convenience/hassle than the cost.
I don't think this is as big a threat as these comments make it seem. For the tech savvy, setting up a Plex server or whatever can be done in an afternoon's time. The majority of consumers won't go through the "hassle" of setting up their own infrastructure and will make judgement calls on what platforms align with their interests.
I'd bet on Netflix (incumbency), Prime (bundling), Apple (integration with iPhone) and Disney (best back catalog) being the leaders in this space for the next 5 years. Despite major networks getting into the game its hard to see them going all in and cannablizing their TV business just yet
You don't need a dedicate Plex server to pirate. Any bittorrent client will do and people might just be happy using a built in media client. Plus often people are happy to buy systems pre-built (remember the "Kodi Box" craze?). Piracy is a service problem not a price problem so people are willing to pay for systems like this if it's easier than managing subscriptions to multiple services (and the fact it usually works out cheaper to pirate is an added bonus).
I really have to ask: Is everyone in the comments apart of an organized troll? Because I feel like I’ve lost my mind reading most of these comments.
It seems like everyone here thinks torrenting is as easy and simple as using streaming services actually is, and that streaming is as complicated as torrenting actually is.
I used to torrent stuff all the time. Constantly. I have several HDs laying around filled with torrented movies and tv shows. Why? Because I was in college and couldn’t afford them.
The day I started making enough money to just sign up to services and buy copies of the movies I wanted I stopped torrenting forever. It’s easy and I’m not stealing.
> It seems like everyone here thinks torrenting is as easy and simple as using streaming services actually is, and that streaming is as complicated as torrenting actually is.
Would be weird if people here didn't find torrenting easy and simple. And depending where you get your torrents from, it could be significantly easier than streaming.
I don't think that follows. I'm technically savvy and am fully capable of torrenting files, but the amount of effort I have to exert to get it done problem free (and the amount I have in the past) means it is not easy or simple. Just because you have the ability to perform an action, even if you find it easy to do, does not mean it is intrinsically easy or simple.
And it definitely is never easier than opening an app on your smart tv/console/etc and clicking play.
> And it definitely is never easier than opening an app on your smart tv/console/etc and clicking play.
It is. For everyone who cares about privacy, security implications of using an app on a smart tv, for everyone who doesn't want to own a smart tv or a console, for everyone who already knows how to do it with torrents. And so on.
Easiness is subjective. Simplicity isn't, but streaming apps are not simpler in any way.
We're not discussing how a luddite is going to watch a movie at home. That's a completely different discussion. And if you are genuinely worried about privacy or security there are other ways around that that don't involve stealing.
Here are my product requirements for a viable alternative to piracy:
1. Availability of any movie or TV show ever made from one service
2. Quality/resolution comparable to what was available when it originally aired (I’m not demanding 4K Seinfeld)
3. No DRM
4. No restriction on downloading/timeshifting
5. Playable on all my devices including Linux and iOS, using my choice of playback software
6. Playable no matter what “region” I happen to be in
7. Original language audio + subs. Dubs are a nice bonus
8. Streaming not an important or necessary feature
9. Slick UI not important or necessary
Provide that and let’s talk price. Note none of the above are technical challenges or areas of active research. They are already all solved by the pirates.
> given the effort it took to migrate users away from piracy and toward legitimate services in the first place. The primary lesson learned during that experience is you need to compete with . It's not really a choice. It's real, it's impossible to stop.
This lesson seems utterly forgotten.
The fatigue is real, and more often than not I’m not finding anything I’m looking for on any of the subscription-based streaming services I’m paying for.
So I’m cancelling all of them.
My fallback: iTunes on my AppleTV has good choice in movies I can buy, and I usually find what I’m looking for there.
Ironically, in the old days everyone used to complain that they couldn't pay for just the cable channels they watch, you had to accept the whole bundle. Now you pay for the channels separately. Yay?
One thing that hasn't been mentioned is some users might consider subscribing to a more expensive (like $20-$70/mo) streaming service if it has content-sharing deals and a promise of no ads or availability windows. There is definitely an enthusiast market out there that wants the best quality and experience, and having to use several different streaming services that may not have what you want to watch when you want to watch it is not a great experience when compared to some of the less legitimate options.
People forget you don't need to pay for all of them yourself. About 5 people share the Netflix I use. I suppose someone else will get Disney and give me access.
That's true. But streaming services are also heavily underutilized. My Netflix subscription is used by 5 to 6 people - that's why I actually pay for the highest tier, to minimize the chance that somebody will be locked out because others wanted to watch something else at the same time. Even 5-6 people, I doubt my Netflix account is used for more than 10-15 hours a week in total.
Maybe it isn't. But I can't imagine that people with a job, household chores and/or a degree to finish spend significantly more than that when averaged over longer periods of time. Sure, I sometimes did binge-watch a whole TV show in two weeks. But then I didn't open Netflix for another two months, so it averages out.
It's worse than that. Netflix does pay for the IP it streams, and there's more players involved. The end result is, each of them will get even less, and some pirates can even make money off this - all they need to do is to collect and curate links to pirate media sources, and charge a tiny amount for ad-free streaming. And they are already doing it.
So instead of owning the video files and having them on my hard drive, I should pay subscription fee as long as I want to watch it? Ok, that's a compromise I can agree to. Now, there are unskippable ads at the beginning and in the middle of the video? Hmmm, that's not what we agreed for. Wait, TWO UNSKIPPABLE ADS at the begginning? Fuck no, fuck never again I'm using any of these services.
I don't want to think in terms of channels (streaming choices like Amazon Prime, Netflix, Google Play, CBS, Disney+, etc.)
I'd like to think in terms of content and suggestions.
I want the Roku to completely hide the channel (streaming provider) from me.
In addition to paying membership to Netflix, I want to be able to purchase content, too. I really appreciate Movies Anywhere. I hope more content can fall under umbrellas like that.
I'm sticking to Netflix. I get Prime video because I have Amazon prime, the moment they charge a penny more for it. I'll drop it. I have Hulu because I got promotion from Spotify, I might keep it if it's less than $10. That's really it. Everything else has to be either free youtube/online videos or DVD, but I'm not subscribing to anymore streaming services.
First time commenting so excuse me if I say something wrong, I believe there should be something similar to cable for these streaming platforms like a company that pays the companies to stream their content on their service for a smaller price for the consumers that way we won't be forced to pay for some many services all at once, the cable concept is starting to make sense.
So far, my go-to has been Vudu. Sure, you have to rent/buy. But $3 to watch that movie you're itching to watch, or $9 to own is very reasonable.
When I was a teenager and Napster was huge, casual piracy was a thing. Now that I make digital things that I ask people to pay me for, I think differently.
nothing, people who pirate stuff will always have an excuse to do so. don't kid yourself into believing they are paying for content out of the goodness of their heart. they are paying only because they don't have a consistent free means to get the same content.
so the next big fight will probably be someone trying to sell a service combining/bundling feeds and running into copy right issues and such. it might lead to an association of services but that depends on how fragmented the industry becomes.
if anything with many players it should drive sub costs down especially for players who have little to offer themselves. if not there will be a lot of industry suffering until they sort it out. consumers will likely stick with one or two providers at most
There should be an open standard for streaming/accessing videos I have purchased that is independent of the platform. I should have a single pane of glass to view netflix/amazon/etc w/o having to use a specific application.
It would be nice if this trend to fragmentation uses more segmentation based on ages and interests. For example: I never watch kids shows or action movies but my money is also invested on that kind of content.
I had just written a note to myself yesterday: "Piracy occurs because the economics of content distribution is broken, not because people inherently want to steal." And then saw this.
The problem is not too many choices. It's actually the lack of choice. Each series is going to a different streaming platform which means we have to pick up more stream services
Something else that is really annoying is how the various services have different controls. It is really necessary to change how fast forward / rewind work in each app?
In other news: Here deregulation of taxi services made people use taxi services less. Competition does not always mean more accessible or affordable consumer options.
It's not just that there is too many. They also all try to shove stuff down your throat in an Amazon like manner while providing a rather crappy service. They've been accumulating bad PR for a couple of years now.
I mean - Netflix knows that they have a lot of shit content that no one in their right mind wants to watch. They also won't allow you to hide that stuff in any real way. Their search is also rather hostile and definitely not aimed at helping you find what you want.
And HBO - I literally subscribed just for John Oliver. And now I can watch it within minutes of it airing on YT, but have to wait days for it to show up in their service. Used to be the same with GoT. Thanks, but no thanks.
I've been saying this for 3 years now. People were good with it was just a Netflix subscription. Now it's Netflix, Hulu, Spotify, Apple Music, Prime Video, Prime Music, Apple TV+, Apple News+, Disney+, HBO Go, and on and on.
Finding the sites themselves is easy with a VPN, reverse SSH shell or proxy. Make sure all of your torrents are encrypted and it'll be more difficult for them to actively block packets (which is the way it will eventually go).
When it comes to this stuff, simply look at what China is doing. It seems to be ground zero for future censorship methods.
The next approach is probably VPNs, although they won't last forever. Governments could always just pass a law outlawing encryption (China has banned VPNs) or compelling services to allow them to man-in-the-middle for any connection. Once it becomes illegal to hide your online activities, there's very little you can do and remain legal.
That said, tricks also exit for hiding data in plain sight (see steganography [1]). Then you end up in this weird territory of illegal numbers and representations of them [2].
In my surroundings there are a lot of kids and teens who only watch YouTube (and Twitch), while streaming services like Netflix are seen as what "boring older people" would watch. It's very similar to how people in their 30s and 40s perceive cable these days.
Ugh, I am so sick of the "if all of the content I ever want isn't available for less than a single $10 a month sub, I'll pirate it" nonsense. Netflix was never going to be the be-all, end-all of content and its time our generation grew up a little bit.
For the amount of content you could get in a traditional cable package, you should expect to pay about as much as a traditional cable package.
A subscription to Netflix already grants me access to way more than I can reasonably watch. If my tastes were perfectly aligned with what Netflix offers (or Disney, or Amazon Prime, et cetera), I could live this exact scenario of everything I could want for less than $10 a month (and some people do).
But if my interests are even slightly more eclectic, I get to pay for each service separately, which is silly if we assume that the production costs are equal for the sake of argument. And even then I would miss out on lots of content because it is being kept in a vault until copyright expires, or because it is geoblocked because the content owner is fishing for exclusive deals, or some-such nonsense.
So economically, $10 a month seems perfectly feasible.
Also, keep in mind that the outrageous costs of the US traditional cable package are very US-specific. In many countries cable television never got that expensive and broad. For those consumers the notion of paying more than $30 a month just for television (no internet included) is absurd.
> A subscription to Netflix already grants me access to way more than I can reasonably watch. If my tastes were perfectly aligned with what Netflix offers
Your primary issue here is referring to volume. Netflix has their own content, then pays for a small handful of extremely popular/valuable titles (see the recent Seinfeld and Big Bang Theory streaming deals, as an example), and then the rest of their content library is cheap trash they got for pennies on the dollar. Entire markets now exist for making cheap movies just to fill out streaming catalogs. (Check out the business model of a company called The Asylum[1].)
Most of the value you're getting is in a very small portion of the overall library of any given company. People aren't going to stay subscribed to Disney+ because it has some old Disney shows which are $10 one-time to own on DVD. They're going to stay subscribed because it has the very latest handful of Disney titles.
But we removed the entire cost of the physical cable network from the equation. Unless you mean the cost of your internet service PLUS the cost of the streaming services should be about equal to your "traditional cable package" ? If so, then you're probably not far off. Except that the cable providers don't also get some margin off delivering the programming anymore.
How did we remove the cost of the physical cable network? They still have to support all of that bandwidth, just over a different format. Plus, most people today also demand these services are without ads, so what traditionally paid for more of the content side has to be made up on the subscription side.
Somehow it worked fine with everything under one roof for low price, until Netflix streaming contracts expired. Something tells me that the change has nothing to do with true costs, and everything to do with an attempt to extract more short-term profit from the IP, regardless of the ultimate damage it will cause to streaming space.
When all of that content was already paid for via traditional networks, sure. But when everyone is transitioning to streaming, stuff's gotta get paid for.
But it is an imbalance in the market, though. You just have to add the hidden costs of each alternative.
Pirating has costs: financial, legal (chances of getting caught times expected fine), and personal (hassle of hunting down the right torrent). Netflix managed to strike a balance point: you had a higher monetary price, but the legal and personal costs were now gone from the equation.
With all the new competitors, both the price and the personal cost of watching the content you like has risen. The return of people to piracy is then a previsible result of this imbalance.
Quite. Legality is really not that relevant when you look at the problem from pure market theory.
The legality aspect does mean the piracy as a competitor has a weakness that can be exploited by other competitors — e.g., by lobbying for stricter laws or suing individuals, or by appealing to morality — but it is a competitor nonetheless, and acts as one.
This has already happened in my circles..
People who had cut the cord but all but walked away from casual piracy and signed up for Netflix and HBO (and probably Prime Video because they had Amazon Prime already) are openly talking about the fact they're definitely not signing up for more streaming services, and are seeking out torrenting again for the stuff that's being pulled from Netflix (especially Disney shows).
I feel like there's a business opportunity for a meta-service that automatically manages monthly subscriptions for you on different services. You queue up a catalog of shows you want to watch, and it creates an optimized schedule for you and helps sign up for the individual streaming service on a given month in order to watch the show you want.
As long as you don't care about the zeitgeist, this would probably be fine for a lot of people.